Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 4059.27 SPX at 0.328$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3321 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3262 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 4059.27 SPX at 0.328$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3321 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3262 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.3281$
Qty 4059.2653 SPX
Size 1332.0073$ (margin 100$) (leverage 13)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3321 (+1.22%)
TP $ 16.24$
SL 0.3262 (-0.58%)
SL $ 7.71$
RR 2.11
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8226
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 08:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.463058 15m : 0.55916 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 06/08 08:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6150 | r1h: -0.089% · r4h: 2.432% · r1d: 3.62% · r3d: 4.41% · ema21_slope: 0.0356% · dist_ema21: 1.831% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5926 | rs_1h: -0.145% · rs_4h: 2.678% · rs_1d: 2.71% · rs_3d: 1.07% · beta_24h: 1.457 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3902 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.122 · trend: 85.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6404 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.251% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.893% | 1.5R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.533% | 2.7R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.551% | 6.1R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.551% | 6.1R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 4.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.551% | 6.1R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.64 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +0.75% | -0.13 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.69 | range_low | +0.66% | +0.03 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
34%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.11% | +0.08 | 06/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.574×ATR | p56 | +0.188×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.824×ATR | p0 | +0.409×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.033×ATR | p26 | -0.619×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.766×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64651.9
-0.00287648
64466
0.463058
64585.6
-0.00174417
64473
0.55916
64038.7
0.00721871
64501
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0.6686
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0.5152
0.555
0.05
0.0344
0.3333
-0.4235
-0.0326
0.5
0.5
1
12
1
0.4743
0.4083
4.2023
0.5
0.8821
3.7069
-0.0326
0.207
0.2389
0.98
0.1838
0.626
0.4893
0
0.555
-2.4002
2.9941
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:52 | 0.32814000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 08:58 | 0.32773000 | -0.113% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 05:35:00 | 0.32627 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:25:00 | 0.33217 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 0.32909 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:50:00 | 0.3329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:15:00 | 0.32753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 09:45:00 | 0.32887 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 0.33799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:05:00 | 0.33352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:40:00 | 0.33786 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 12:50:00 | 0.32812 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 21:30:00 | 0.33277 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 0.33247 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:30:00 | 0.33994 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 0.3234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 0.3299 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:15:00 | 0.33217 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:45:00 | 0.3329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:15:00 | 0.32753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 0.33799 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 12:45:00 | 0.32836 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 09:00:00 | 0.31825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.32752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.32746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 0.31952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 0.33366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 11:00:00 | 0.3242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.3242 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.33994 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 0.3234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 0.33799 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3281 | 0.3262 | 0.3321 | 2.11 | 0.4641 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3262 - 0.3281 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3281 - 0.3321 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.0019 = 2.1053
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1332.0073 | 100 | 4059.2653 | 13.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53
Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.3281 = -1381.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.3262
Avec un position size USD de -1381.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.004 = 16.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 16.24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 7.71 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.71 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7528 % | 129.99 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3281 | 0.3262 | 0.3321 | 2.11 | 0.4641 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3262 - 0.3281 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3281 - 0.3321 = -0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.004 / -0.0019 = 2.1053
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.893% | 1.5R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.533% | 2.7R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.551% | 6.1R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.551% | 6.1R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 4.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.551% | 6.1R | -0.869% | 1.5R | 4.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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