Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 119599.34 PUMP at 0.00232$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002158 (7.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002392 (2.88 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 119599.34 PUMP at 0.00232$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002158 (7.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002392 (2.88 %)
Position
Entry 0.002325$
Qty 119599.3422 PUMP
Size 278.0685$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002158 (+7.18%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.002392 (-2.88%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.49
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2955
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 09:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 06/08 08:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4449 | r1h: 0.172% · r4h: -1.019% · r1d: -7.79% · r3d: 11.64% · ema21_slope: -0.2323% · dist_ema21: -1.772% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4766 | rs_1h: 0.322% · rs_4h: -0.384% · rs_1d: -8.12% · rs_3d: 8.73% · beta_24h: 1.270 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1836 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: -32.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5740 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.258% | 0.1R | -1.376% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.505% | 0.5R | -1.376% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.850% | 0.6R | -1.376% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.850% | 0.6R | -4.344% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.850% | 0.6R | -4.344% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.82% | +1.00 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +0.75% | +0.63 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.37 | range_low | +0.66% | -0.50 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.44 | range_low | -0.11% | -0.09 | 06/08 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 4.883×ATR | p85 | +0.567×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.132×ATR | p53 | -0.492×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.27×ATR | p0 | -0.236×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.922×ATR | p32 | +0.22×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002388
142
0.4507
0.647
0.4312
0.2089
0.6131
0.2887
0.4537
0.6441
0.4969
0.036
0.6149
0.5282
-0.142
-0.0417
0.3333
-0.9919
-0.851
0.7857
0.2143
-1
9
1
0.5822
0.5655
5.4383
0.55
0.2887
1.57
-0.851
0.799
0.2387
0.06
-0.3482
0.3636
0.4859
0.9599
0.5282
-6.3549
7.1156
1
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0.002306
0.002388
0.002388
0.002306
0.002296
0.002211
0.0022535
0.778
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002325 | 0.002392 | 0.002158 | 2.49 | 0.003525 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002392 - 0.002325 = 6.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002325 - 0.002158 = 0.000167
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000167 / 6.7E-5 = 2.4925
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 278.0685 | 100 | 119599.3422 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 6.7E-5 = 119402.99
Taille de position USD = 119402.99 x 0.002325 = 277.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 119402.99 avec un stoploss a 0.002392
Avec un position size USD de 277.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 119402.99 x 6.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 119402.99 x 0.000167 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.18 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.88 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -2.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5269 % | 122.39 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002325 | 0.002392 | 0.002158 | 2.49 | 0.003525 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002392 - 0.002325 = 6.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002325 - 0.002158 = 0.000167
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000167 / 6.7E-5 = 2.4925
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.258% | 0.1R | -1.376% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.505% | 0.5R | -1.376% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.850% | 0.6R | -1.376% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.850% | 0.6R | -4.344% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.850% | 0.6R | -4.344% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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