06 Aug 2026 at 09:32:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1733.53 CRV at 0.209$ per unit. Take profit: 0.221 (5.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2049 (2.2 %)

CRV LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 09:32 → 12:50 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.2095$

Qty 1733.5341 CRV

Size 363.1754$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.221 (+5.49%)

TP $ 19.94$

SL 0.2049 (-2.2%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +5.49% / +19.94$ MAE -0.00% MFE +5.66% 2.6R expires 06 Aug 21:31

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60422)
#3 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9290

Quality Score
0.652
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 09:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.47×ATR
4h near -0.16×ATR
1d clear 21.69×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

06/08 09:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

06/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

06/08 09:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6521
Score SMA
0.5345
Rank
#3 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9290
Rank Norm SMA
0.5220
Calculé le
06/08/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5748 r1h: 0.095% · r4h: 0.252% · r1d: 2.94% · r3d: 4.15% · ema21_slope: 0.1131% · dist_ema21: 1.533%
Force Relative 25% 0.5717 rs_1h: 0.245% · rs_4h: 0.887% · rs_1d: 2.61% · rs_3d: 1.24% · beta_24h: 1.077
Volume 20% 0.6512 rvol_20: 2.07× · zscore_50: 0.904 · trend: 54.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7097 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 33.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.807% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.196% (0.0046)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.570% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R 12
2h +2.282% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R 24
4h +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 48
8h +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 96
12h ★ +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 144
24h +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 1.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 34% early 0.68 bear_high -3.82% -0.42 05/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.2ATR 0.52 range_high +0.32% +0.13 06/08 08:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 47% early 0.52 range_low +0.24% +0.28 06/08 09:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
61%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.0ATR near 0.3ATR range_low -0.57% +0.10 06/08 09:15
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 23b 2.115×ATR p0 +0.448×ATR p47
4h ↑ up mid 11b 2.523×ATR p15 +0.639×ATR p75
1h ↓ down early 1b 1.472×ATR p0 +0.244×ATR p25
15m ↓ down early 3b 2.551×ATR p49 -0.379×ATR p33

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7652
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.83×ATR dur=30b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.20488515
  5. tp_price: 0.22103711
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.76517352163018
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-07T01:31:55.200798
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.76517352163018
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0611
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0467
  15. micro_price : 0.20960128
  16. spread_pct : 0.095465
  17. mid_price : 0.2096
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.208
  19. bid_wall_size : 883557
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.211
  22. ask_wall_size : 655163
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0595
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0036
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7097
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.20661
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.2035
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.205055
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785916800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786021200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.8311
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    30
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7652
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785992400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.20661
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6333
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    8
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.7015
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    2
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00169846
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.6333
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
1.7015

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 09:32 0.20950000 0%
2 09:37 0.20941000 -0.043%
3 09:43 0.20941000 -0.043%
4 09:49 0.21095000 +0.692%
5 09:55 0.21095000 +0.692%
6 10:02 0.21095000 +0.692%
7 10:07 0.21087000 +0.654%
8 10:13 0.21087000 +0.654%
9 10:19 0.21118000 +0.802%
10 10:25 0.21118000 +0.802%
11 10:32 0.21118000 +0.802%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7097ms Confidence avant OB : 77%77%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.061
avg 0.060 ± 0.004
OBI Top 10 0.047

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2096
Micro Price
0.2096
Spread
0.0955%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.2080
Size
883,557.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.2110
Size
655,163.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2095 0.2049 0.221 2.5 0.3203
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2095
  • Stop Loss: 0.2049
  • Take Profit: 0.221

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2049 - 0.2095 = -0.0046

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2095 - 0.221 = -0.0115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0115 / -0.0046 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
363.1754 100 1733.5341 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0046

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0046 = -1739.13

Taille de position USD = -1739.13 x 0.2095 = -364.35

Donc, tu peux acheter -1739.13 avec un stoploss a 0.2049

Avec un position size USD de -364.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0046 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1739.13 x -0.0115 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1739.13
  • Taille de position USD -364.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.49 % 19.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.2 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
19.94 $ 5.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2095 0.2049 0.221 2.5 0.3203
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2095
  • Stop Loss: 0.2049
  • Take Profit: 0.221

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2049 - 0.2095 = -0.0046

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2095 - 0.221 = -0.0115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0115 / -0.0046 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2187
            [stop_loss] => 0.2049
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-06 16:35:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.221
            [stop_loss] => 0.2049
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-06 16:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.196% (0.0046)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.570% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R 12
2h +2.282% 1.0R -0.000% 0.0R 24
4h +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 48
8h +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 96
12h ★ +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 144
24h +5.661% 2.6R -0.000% 0.0R 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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