Short Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 13056.96 SKR at 0.0074$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007217 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.008015 (8.28 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
SKR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 12:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.007402$
Qty 13056.961 SKR
Size 96.6476$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.007217 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.42$
SL 0.008015 (-8.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.3
Status
loss
PnL
-2.15%
/ -2.08$
MAE -2.99%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
06 Aug 12:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=36 <= threshold=38/48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60507)
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 10:00
score du 06/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1030
Quality Score
0.387
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 10:02
06/08 10:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.28 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 10:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 09:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 10:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3870
Score SMA
0.4924
Rank
#49
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1030
Rank Norm SMA
0.4239
Calculé le
06/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3032 | r1h: -1.737% · r4h: -3.713% · r1d: -13.26% · r3d: 15.07% · ema21_slope: -0.3715% · dist_ema21: -4.582% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3446 | rs_1h: -1.748% · rs_4h: -3.320% · rs_1d: -13.29% · rs_3d: 13.39% · beta_24h: -1.413 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2314 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -42.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5068 | ADX: 13.9 (weak) · Chop: 51.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8762 | ATR%: 3.371% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -8.282%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.689% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.986% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.986% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.878% | 0.1R | -3.202% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.270% | 0.3R | -3.202% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.188% | 0.4R | -3.202% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.65 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.16 | range_high | +0.32% | +0.87 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | range_low | +0.50% | -0.88 | 06/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.18% | -0.07 | 06/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.738×ATR | p10 | +0.505×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 4.565×ATR | p74 | -0.389×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.229×ATR | p76 | -0.882×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.096×ATR | p80 | -1.98×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0080147
- tp_price: 0.00721695
- atr: 0.00024508
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T20:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 49
- score: 0.3032
- delta_2h: -0.1543
- extension_atr: -1.55
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.103
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007402 | 0.008015 | 0.007217 | 0.3 | 0.01762 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.007402
- Stop Loss: 0.008015
- Take Profit: 0.007217
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008015 - 0.007402 = 0.000613
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007402 - 0.007217 = 0.000185
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000185 / 0.000613 = 0.3018
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96.6476 | 96.6476 | 13056.961 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000613
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000613 = 13050.57
Taille de position USD = 13050.57 x 0.007402 = 96.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 13050.57 avec un stoploss a 0.008015
Avec un position size USD de 96.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13050.57 x 0.000613 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13050.57 x 0.000185 = 2.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.41$
Résumé
- Taille de position 13050.57
- Taille de position USD 96.6
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.41
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3018
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.08 $ | -2.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9857 % | 36.05 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.007402 | 0.008015 | 0.007217 | 0.3 | 0.01762 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.007402
- Stop Loss: 0.008015
- Take Profit: 0.007217
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.008015 - 0.007402 = 0.000613
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.007402 - 0.007217 = 0.000185
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000185 / 0.000613 = 0.3018
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -8.282%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.689% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.986% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.986% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.878% | 0.1R | -3.202% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.270% | 0.3R | -3.202% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.188% | 0.4R | -3.202% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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