06 Aug 2026 at 11:08:47 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 965.29 ADA at 0.201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2215 (10.31 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1925 (4.13 %)

ADA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 11:08 → 23:05 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.2008$

Qty 965.2871 ADA

Size 193.8007$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2215 (+10.31%)

TP $ 19.98$

SL 0.1925 (-4.13%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -0.48% / -0.94$ MAE -0.98% MFE +5.31% 1.3R expires 06 Aug 23:08 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60530)
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6302

Quality Score
0.825
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 11:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.13 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.13 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear
4h clear
1d clear 7.98×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

06/08 11:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

06/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

06/08 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bull expansion +1
Tactical bull expansion +1
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 11:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.8248
Score SMA
0.5102
Rank
#2 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6302
Rank Norm SMA
0.4977
Calculé le
06/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7040 r1h: 4.337% · r4h: 7.150% · r1d: 5.76% · r3d: 6.50% · ema21_slope: 0.0057% · dist_ema21: 5.630%
Force Relative 25% 0.8586 rs_1h: 3.754% · rs_4h: 6.853% · rs_1d: 5.23% · rs_3d: 5.18% · beta_24h: 3.345
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.94× · zscore_50: 6.026 · trend: 167.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6594 ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 18.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.329% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.134% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.154% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R 12
2h +5.309% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R 24
4h +5.309% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R 48
8h +5.309% 1.3R -0.194% 0.1R 27.3× 96
12h ★ +5.309% 1.3R -0.976% 0.2R 5.4× 144
24h +5.309% 1.3R -2.137% 0.5R 2.5× 288

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.51
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 41% mid 0.80 bear_high -3.82% +0.86 05/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong fading normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid 0.62 range_high +0.67% +0.31 06/08 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 48% late 0.44 bull_low +1.07% +0.55 06/08 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
55%
ranging_calm 54% late range_low +0.34% +0.56 06/08 10:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 9b 3.922×ATR p52 +0.802×ATR p71
4h ↓ down mid 7b 1.031×ATR p0 +0.704×ATR p61
1h ↑ up late 10b 6.118×ATR p95 +3.49×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 6b 7.048×ATR p97 +3.863×ATR p100

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8382
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.79×ATR dur=65b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 0.19248231
  5. tp_price: 0.22148923
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.76816917579925
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-07T03:08:39.412804
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.76816917579925
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0382
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0405
  15. micro_price : 0.20051653
  16. spread_pct : 0.049875
  17. mid_price : 0.20055
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.196
  19. bid_wall_size : 6466918.4
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.205
  22. ask_wall_size : 5033096
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1573
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.1074
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7126
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.195115
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.19038
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1927475
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785798000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786028400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.7855
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    65
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7682
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786024800
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.195115
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6462
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    2.1324
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    11
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    17
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00265192
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
65
inside_close_ratio
0.6462
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
2.1324

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 11:08 0.20077000 -0.015%
2 11:14 0.20077000 -0.015%
3 11:20 0.20272000 +0.956%
4 11:26 0.20272000 +0.956%
5 11:33 0.20272000 +0.956%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7126ms Confidence avant OB : 77%84%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.038
avg 0.157 ± 0.107
OBI Top 10 0.041

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2006
Micro Price
0.2005
Spread
0.0499%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1960
Size
6,466,918.40

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.2050
Size
5,033,096.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2008 0.1925 0.2215 2.49 0.1951
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2008
  • Stop Loss: 0.1925
  • Take Profit: 0.2215

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1925 - 0.2008 = -0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2008 - 0.2215 = -0.0207

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0207 / -0.0083 = 2.494

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
193.8007 100 965.2871 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0083

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0083 = -963.86

Taille de position USD = -963.86 x 0.2008 = -193.54

Donc, tu peux acheter -963.86 avec un stoploss a 0.1925

Avec un position size USD de -193.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -963.86 x -0.0083 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -963.86 x -0.0207 = 19.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -963.86
  • Taille de position USD -193.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.494

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
10.31 % 19.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.13 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-0.94 $ -0.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9761 % 23.61 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2008 0.1925 0.2215 2.49 0.1951
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2008
  • Stop Loss: 0.1925
  • Take Profit: 0.2215

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1925 - 0.2008 = -0.0083

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2008 - 0.2215 = -0.0207

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0207 / -0.0083 = 2.494

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.134% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.154% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R 12
2h +5.309% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R 24
4h +5.309% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R 48
8h +5.309% 1.3R -0.194% 0.1R 27.3× 96
12h ★ +5.309% 1.3R -0.976% 0.2R 5.4× 144
24h +5.309% 1.3R -2.137% 0.5R 2.5× 288

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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