Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 13.04 SOL at 73.302$ per unit. Take profit: 71.7678 (2.09 %) & Stop Loss: 73.9157 (0.84 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 12:06:46
hyperliquid
SOL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 12:06
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 73.302$
Qty 13.0362 SOL
Size 955.5792$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 71.7678 (+2.09%)
TP $ 20$
SL 73.9157 (-0.84%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.95%
/ +9.13$
MAE -0.27%
MFE +1.37%
1.6R
expires
07 Aug 00:06
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60559)
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4667
Quality Score
0.494
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
111.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 12:00
06/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.85×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.63×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 12:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 06/08 11:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4935
Score SMA
0.5031
Rank
#32
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4667
Rank Norm SMA
0.5126
Calculé le
06/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4867 | r1h: -0.070% · r4h: -0.067% · r1d: -0.73% · r3d: -0.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0347% · dist_ema21: -0.355% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4615 | rs_1h: -0.025% · rs_4h: -0.249% · rs_1d: -1.30% · rs_3d: -1.92% · beta_24h: 1.379 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2657 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: 11.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5265 | ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.837%
(0.6137)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.322% | 0.4R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.516% | 0.6R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.075% | 1.3R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 4.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.366% | 1.6R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.366% | 1.6R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.366% | 1.6R | -1.368% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.30 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.81 | bull_high | +1.37% | -0.21 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bull_low | +0.95% | -0.13 | 06/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.22% | -0.00 | 06/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.466×ATR | p63 | -0.195×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.415×ATR | p0 | -0.169×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.419×ATR | p0 | -0.17×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.975×ATR | p43 | +0.276×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8313
- reason: down_bo width=2.81×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 73.91567598
- tp_price: 71.76781004
- atr:
- score: 0.83129163548485
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T04:06:38.358318
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83129163548485
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0794
- obi_top10 : 0.0794
- micro_price : 73.28963494
- spread_pct : 0.001364
- mid_price : 73.2895
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0599
- obi_top5_std : 0.0163
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7064
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
74.3945
- balance_zone_bottom:
73.3635
- balance_zone_mid:
73.879
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785873600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786032000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8111
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8313
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786028400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
73.3635
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.1677
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.36675984 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1677
Signaux confirmants (48)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:06 | 73.30200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:12 | 73.30200000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:18 | 73.14400000 | -0.216% |
| 4 | 12:24 | 73.14400000 | -0.216% |
| 5 | 12:30 | 73.14400000 | -0.216% |
| 6 | 12:36 | 73.25800000 | -0.06% |
| 7 | 12:42 | 73.25800000 | -0.06% |
| 8 | 14:07 | 73.01300000 | -0.394% |
| 9 | 14:12 | 73.01300000 | -0.394% |
| 10 | 14:18 | 73.06000000 | -0.33% |
| 11 | 14:24 | 73.06000000 | -0.33% |
| 12 | 14:30 | 73.06000000 | -0.33% |
| 13 | 14:36 | 72.97900000 | -0.441% |
| 14 | 14:42 | 72.97900000 | -0.441% |
| 15 | 14:48 | 72.87900000 | -0.577% |
| 16 | 14:54 | 72.87900000 | -0.577% |
| 17 | 15:00 | 72.87900000 | -0.577% |
| 18 | 15:06 | 72.78900000 | -0.7% |
| 19 | 15:12 | 72.78900000 | -0.7% |
| 20 | 15:18 | 72.75100000 | -0.752% |
| 21 | 15:24 | 72.75100000 | -0.752% |
| 22 | 15:30 | 72.75100000 | -0.752% |
| 23 | 15:36 | 72.57700000 | -0.989% |
| 24 | 15:42 | 72.57700000 | -0.989% |
| 25 | 15:48 | 72.74500000 | -0.76% |
| 26 | 15:54 | 72.74500000 | -0.76% |
| 27 | 16:00 | 72.74500000 | -0.76% |
| 28 | 16:06 | 72.90500000 | -0.542% |
| 29 | 16:12 | 72.90500000 | -0.542% |
| 30 | 16:18 | 72.90900000 | -0.536% |
| 31 | 16:24 | 72.90900000 | -0.536% |
| 32 | 16:30 | 72.90900000 | -0.536% |
| 33 | 16:36 | 72.88300000 | -0.572% |
| 34 | 16:42 | 72.88300000 | -0.572% |
| 35 | 16:48 | 72.90000000 | -0.548% |
| 36 | 16:54 | 72.90000000 | -0.548% |
| 37 | 17:00 | 72.90000000 | -0.548% |
| 38 | 17:06 | 72.80000000 | -0.685% |
| 39 | 17:12 | 72.80000000 | -0.685% |
| 40 | 17:18 | 72.92900000 | -0.509% |
| 41 | 17:24 | 72.92900000 | -0.509% |
| 42 | 17:30 | 72.92900000 | -0.509% |
| 43 | 17:36 | 72.85800000 | -0.606% |
| 44 | 17:42 | 72.85800000 | -0.606% |
| 45 | 17:48 | 72.92200000 | -0.518% |
| 46 | 17:54 | 72.92200000 | -0.518% |
| 47 | 18:00 | 72.92200000 | -0.518% |
| 48 | 18:06 | 72.77700000 | -0.716% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7064ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.079
avg 0.060
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
0.079
Microstructure
Mid Price
73.2895
Micro Price
73.2896
Spread
0.0014%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.302 | 73.9157 | 71.7678 | 2.5 | 97.69 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 73.302
- Stop Loss: 73.9157
- Take Profit: 71.7678
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.9157 - 73.302 = 0.61369999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.302 - 71.7678 = 1.5342
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5342 / 0.61369999999999 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 955.5792 | 100 | 13.0362 | 10.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.61369999999999
Taille de position = 8 / 0.61369999999999 = 13.04
Taille de position USD = 13.04 x 73.302 = 955.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 13.04 avec un stoploss a 73.9157
Avec un position size USD de 955.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13.04 x 0.61369999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13.04 x 1.5342 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 13.04
- Taille de position USD 955.86
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.09 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.13 $ | 0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2701 % | 32.26 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.302 | 73.9157 | 71.7678 | 2.5 | 97.69 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 73.302
- Stop Loss: 73.9157
- Take Profit: 71.7678
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.9157 - 73.302 = 0.61369999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.302 - 71.7678 = 1.5342
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5342 / 0.61369999999999 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.837%
(0.6137)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.322% | 0.4R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.516% | 0.6R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.075% | 1.3R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 4.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.366% | 1.6R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.366% | 1.6R | -0.270% | 0.3R | 5.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.366% | 1.6R | -1.368% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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