Short Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 8061.59 DOGE at 0.069$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06652 (3.59 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06999 (1.43 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 12:07:31
hyperliquid
DOGE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 12:07
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.069$
Qty 8061.5906 DOGE
Size 556.2417$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06652 (+3.59%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.06999 (-1.43%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-0.03%
/ -0.16$
MAE -0.66%
MFE +0.55%
0.4R
expires
07 Aug 00:07
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60564)
#21 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5413
Quality Score
0.521
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 12:00
06/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#21 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#21 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 12:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) 06/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5209
Score SMA
0.5019
Rank
#21
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5413
Rank Norm SMA
0.4169
Calculé le
06/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4686 | r1h: 0.001% · r4h: -0.097% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: -1.90% · ema21_slope: -0.0566% · dist_ema21: -0.563% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4484 | rs_1h: 0.046% · rs_4h: -0.280% · rs_1d: -1.44% · rs_3d: -3.56% · beta_24h: 1.526 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3459 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.401 · trend: 68.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6601 | ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.435%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.1R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.232% | 0.2R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.548% | 0.4R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.548% | 0.4R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.548% | 0.4R | -0.658% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.548% | 0.4R | -1.807% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.52 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.82 | bull_high | +1.37% | -0.35 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.69 | bull_low | +0.95% | -0.15 | 06/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.22% | -0.00 | 06/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.499×ATR | p56 | -0.479×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 1.902×ATR | p0 | -0.62×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.316×ATR | p48 | -0.269×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.683×ATR | p87 | +0.532×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.721
- reason: down_bo width=2.46×ATR dur=47b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.06999136
- tp_price: 0.06651811
- atr:
- score: 0.72104503001447
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T04:07:23.685610
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.72104503001447
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1411
- obi_top10 : -0.0588
- micro_price : 0.06907959
- spread_pct : 0.014478
- mid_price : 0.069075
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.07
- ask_wall_size : 32423575
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.146
- obi_top5_std : 0.0057
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6863
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.070393
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0695185
- balance_zone_mid:
0.06995575
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785866400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786032000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4561
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.721
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0695185
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8085
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.459
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00035606 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.8085
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.459
Signaux confirmants (60)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:07 | 0.06899900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 12:13 | 0.06899900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 12:19 | 0.06901900 | +0.028% |
| 4 | 12:25 | 0.06901900 | +0.028% |
| 5 | 12:31 | 0.06901900 | +0.028% |
| 6 | 12:37 | 0.06913000 | +0.188% |
| 7 | 12:43 | 0.06913000 | +0.188% |
| 8 | 12:49 | 0.06933500 | +0.486% |
| 9 | 12:55 | 0.06933500 | +0.486% |
| 10 | 13:01 | 0.06933500 | +0.486% |
| 11 | 13:07 | 0.06930400 | +0.441% |
| 12 | 13:13 | 0.06930400 | +0.441% |
| 13 | 13:19 | 0.06927400 | +0.397% |
| 14 | 13:25 | 0.06927400 | +0.397% |
| 15 | 13:31 | 0.06927400 | +0.397% |
| 16 | 13:37 | 0.06916600 | +0.241% |
| 17 | 13:43 | 0.06916600 | +0.241% |
| 18 | 13:49 | 0.06903900 | +0.057% |
| 19 | 13:55 | 0.06903900 | +0.057% |
| 20 | 14:01 | 0.06903900 | +0.057% |
| 21 | 14:07 | 0.06895600 | -0.064% |
| 22 | 14:13 | 0.06895600 | -0.064% |
| 23 | 14:19 | 0.06901500 | +0.022% |
| 24 | 14:25 | 0.06901500 | +0.022% |
| 25 | 14:31 | 0.06901500 | +0.022% |
| 26 | 14:37 | 0.06891500 | -0.123% |
| 27 | 14:43 | 0.06891500 | -0.123% |
| 28 | 14:49 | 0.06878400 | -0.313% |
| 29 | 14:55 | 0.06878400 | -0.313% |
| 30 | 15:01 | 0.06878400 | -0.313% |
| 31 | 15:07 | 0.06874500 | -0.37% |
| 32 | 15:13 | 0.06874500 | -0.37% |
| 33 | 15:19 | 0.06874700 | -0.367% |
| 34 | 15:25 | 0.06874700 | -0.367% |
| 35 | 15:31 | 0.06874700 | -0.367% |
| 36 | 15:37 | 0.06868900 | -0.451% |
| 37 | 15:43 | 0.06868900 | -0.451% |
| 38 | 15:49 | 0.06878500 | -0.312% |
| 39 | 15:55 | 0.06878500 | -0.312% |
| 40 | 16:01 | 0.06878500 | -0.312% |
| 41 | 16:07 | 0.06875900 | -0.349% |
| 42 | 16:13 | 0.06875900 | -0.349% |
| 43 | 16:19 | 0.06879400 | -0.299% |
| 44 | 16:25 | 0.06879400 | -0.299% |
| 45 | 16:31 | 0.06879400 | -0.299% |
| 46 | 16:37 | 0.06880900 | -0.277% |
| 47 | 16:43 | 0.06880900 | -0.277% |
| 48 | 16:49 | 0.06892200 | -0.113% |
| 49 | 16:55 | 0.06892200 | -0.113% |
| 50 | 17:01 | 0.06892200 | -0.113% |
| 51 | 17:07 | 0.06891000 | -0.13% |
| 52 | 17:13 | 0.06891000 | -0.13% |
| 53 | 17:19 | 0.06904600 | +0.067% |
| 54 | 17:25 | 0.06904600 | +0.067% |
| 55 | 17:31 | 0.06904600 | +0.067% |
| 56 | 17:37 | 0.06895200 | -0.07% |
| 57 | 17:43 | 0.06895200 | -0.07% |
| 58 | 17:49 | 0.06898100 | -0.028% |
| 59 | 17:55 | 0.06898100 | -0.028% |
| 60 | 18:01 | 0.06898100 | -0.028% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6863ms
Confidence avant OB :
72%
→
72%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.141
avg -0.146
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
-0.059
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0691
Micro Price
0.0691
Spread
0.0145%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0700
Size
32,423,575.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.069 | 0.06999 | 0.06652 | 2.51 | 0.0808 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.069
- Stop Loss: 0.06999
- Take Profit: 0.06652
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06999 - 0.069 = 0.00098999999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.069 - 0.06652 = 0.00248
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00248 / 0.00098999999999999 = 2.5051
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 556.2417 | 100 | 8061.5906 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00098999999999999
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00098999999999999 = 8080.81
Taille de position USD = 8080.81 x 0.069 = 557.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 8080.81 avec un stoploss a 0.06999
Avec un position size USD de 557.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8080.81 x 0.00098999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8080.81 x 0.00248 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 8080.81
- Taille de position USD 557.58
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5051
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.59 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.43 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.16 $ | -0.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.658 % | 45.86 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.069 | 0.06999 | 0.06652 | 2.51 | 0.0808 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.069
- Stop Loss: 0.06999
- Take Profit: 0.06652
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06999 - 0.069 = 0.00098999999999999
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.069 - 0.06652 = 0.00248
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00248 / 0.00098999999999999 = 2.5051
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.435%
(0.0010)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.1R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.232% | 0.2R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.548% | 0.4R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.548% | 0.4R | -0.515% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.548% | 0.4R | -0.658% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.548% | 0.4R | -1.807% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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