Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 204.2 NEAR at 1.673$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5751 (5.85 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7122 (2.34 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 12:09:40
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 12:09
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.673$
Qty 204.196 NEAR
Size 341.6199$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5751 (+5.85%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.7122 (-2.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.01%
/ +6.86$
MAE -0.20%
MFE +2.28%
1.0R
expires
07 Aug 00:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60581)
#35 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4108
Quality Score
0.484
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 12:00
06/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#35 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.41×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 12:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4843
Score SMA
0.4890
Rank
#35
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4108
Rank Norm SMA
0.3636
Calculé le
06/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4502 | r1h: -0.238% · r4h: -0.598% · r1d: -0.77% · r3d: -3.85% · ema21_slope: -0.0396% · dist_ema21: -1.213% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4130 | rs_1h: -0.193% · rs_4h: -0.780% · rs_1d: -1.34% · rs_3d: -5.51% · beta_24h: 0.685 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2520 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -10.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6375 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.927% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.343%
(0.0392)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.646% | 0.3R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.058% | 0.5R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 5.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.237% | 0.5R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.237% | 0.5R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.283% | 1.0R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 11.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.981% | 1.7R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 20.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.89 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.62 | bull_high | +1.37% | -0.45 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_low | +0.95% | -0.13 | 06/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.22% | -0.04 | 06/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.761×ATR | p60 | -0.328×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 2.793×ATR | p25 | -0.565×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.432×ATR | p2 | -0.789×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.392×ATR | p9 | -0.566×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7633
- reason: down_bo width=2.44×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.71217804
- tp_price: 1.5750549
- atr:
- score: 0.76325115797332
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T04:09:33.094442
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76325115797332
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0203
- obi_top10 : 0.0203
- micro_price : 1.67091412
- spread_pct : 0.005985
- mid_price : 1.67095
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0203
- obi_top5_std : 0.0002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6826
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.7293
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.692
- balance_zone_mid:
1.71065
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785902400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786032000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.441
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7633
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786024800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.692
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8378
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2434
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0152804 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.8378
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2434
Signaux confirmants (41)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 1.67300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 1.67300000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:21 | 1.66560000 | -0.442% |
| 4 | 12:27 | 1.66560000 | -0.442% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 1.66560000 | -0.442% |
| 6 | 12:39 | 1.66780000 | -0.311% |
| 7 | 12:45 | 1.66780000 | -0.311% |
| 8 | 12:51 | 1.66590000 | -0.424% |
| 9 | 12:56 | 1.66590000 | -0.424% |
| 10 | 13:03 | 1.66590000 | -0.424% |
| 11 | 13:09 | 1.67520000 | +0.132% |
| 12 | 13:15 | 1.67520000 | +0.132% |
| 13 | 13:21 | 1.66990000 | -0.185% |
| 14 | 13:27 | 1.66990000 | -0.185% |
| 15 | 13:33 | 1.66990000 | -0.185% |
| 16 | 13:39 | 1.66080000 | -0.729% |
| 17 | 13:45 | 1.66080000 | -0.729% |
| 18 | 13:51 | 1.66970000 | -0.197% |
| 19 | 13:57 | 1.66970000 | -0.197% |
| 20 | 14:04 | 1.66970000 | -0.197% |
| 21 | 14:10 | 1.66680000 | -0.371% |
| 22 | 14:15 | 1.66680000 | -0.371% |
| 23 | 14:21 | 1.66800000 | -0.299% |
| 24 | 14:27 | 1.66800000 | -0.299% |
| 25 | 14:33 | 1.66800000 | -0.299% |
| 26 | 14:39 | 1.66390000 | -0.544% |
| 27 | 14:45 | 1.66390000 | -0.544% |
| 28 | 14:51 | 1.66270000 | -0.616% |
| 29 | 14:57 | 1.66270000 | -0.616% |
| 30 | 15:04 | 1.66270000 | -0.616% |
| 31 | 15:09 | 1.65950000 | -0.807% |
| 32 | 15:15 | 1.65950000 | -0.807% |
| 33 | 15:21 | 1.66010000 | -0.771% |
| 34 | 15:27 | 1.66010000 | -0.771% |
| 35 | 15:33 | 1.66010000 | -0.771% |
| 36 | 15:39 | 1.65960000 | -0.801% |
| 37 | 15:45 | 1.65960000 | -0.801% |
| 38 | 15:51 | 1.66380000 | -0.55% |
| 39 | 15:57 | 1.66380000 | -0.55% |
| 40 | 16:03 | 1.66380000 | -0.55% |
| 41 | 18:09 | 1.66560000 | -0.442% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6826ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.020
avg 0.020
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.020
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.6710
Micro Price
1.6709
Spread
0.0060%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.673 | 1.7122 | 1.5751 | 2.5 | 2.3553 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.673
- Stop Loss: 1.7122
- Take Profit: 1.5751
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7122 - 1.673 = 0.0392
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.673 - 1.5751 = 0.0979
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0979 / 0.0392 = 2.4974
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 341.6199 | 100 | 204.196 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0392
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0392 = 204.08
Taille de position USD = 204.08 x 1.673 = 341.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 204.08 avec un stoploss a 1.7122
Avec un position size USD de 341.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 204.08 x 0.0392 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 204.08 x 0.0979 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 204.08
- Taille de position USD 341.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4974
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.85 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.86 $ | 2.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1973 % | 8.42 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.673 | 1.7122 | 1.5751 | 2.5 | 2.3553 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.673
- Stop Loss: 1.7122
- Take Profit: 1.5751
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7122 - 1.673 = 0.0392
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.673 - 1.5751 = 0.0979
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0979 / 0.0392 = 2.4974
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.343%
(0.0392)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.646% | 0.3R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.058% | 0.5R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 5.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.237% | 0.5R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.237% | 0.5R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.283% | 1.0R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 11.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.981% | 1.7R | -0.197% | 0.1R | 20.2× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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