Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 673.63 ADA at 0.206$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2359 (14.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1944 (5.72 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 12:09:18
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 12:09
→ 00:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2062$
Qty 673.6343 ADA
Size 138.9303$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2359 (+14.4%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.1944 (-5.72%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-3.43%
/ -4.77$
MAE -3.62%
MFE +2.55%
0.5R
expires
07 Aug 00:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60578)
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
score du 06/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6730
Quality Score
0.873
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 12:00
06/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 7.98×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 06/08 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 12:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.8729
Score SMA
0.5251
Rank
#2
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6730
Rank Norm SMA
0.5161
Calculé le
06/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8008 | r1h: 4.474% · r4h: 8.900% · r1d: 10.74% · r3d: 6.74% · ema21_slope: 0.0872% · dist_ema21: 8.427% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9173 | rs_1h: 4.519% · rs_4h: 8.718% · rs_1d: 10.17% · rs_3d: 5.08% · beta_24h: 2.371 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.34× · zscore_50: 5.079 · trend: 268.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6889 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 8.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.505% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.723%
(0.0118)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -1.261% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -1.431% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -2.701% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -3.264% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.551% | 0.5R | -3.623% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -4.699% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.92
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.82% | +0.86 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bull_high | +1.37% | +0.52 | 06/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bull_low | +0.95% | +0.77 | 06/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
ranging_calm 60% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.22% | +0.74 | 06/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.922×ATR | p52 | +0.802×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.904×ATR | p42 | +1.712×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 7.421×ATR | p100 | +4.172×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.88×ATR | p89 | +3.253×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7888
- reason: up_bo width=2.65×ATR dur=64b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.19436412
- tp_price: 0.23592971
- atr:
- score: 0.78878427430093
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T04:09:11.367719
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78878427430093
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0521
- obi_top10 : 0.096
- micro_price : 0.20624571
- spread_pct : 0.048497
- mid_price : 0.20625
- bid_wall_price : 0.2
- bid_wall_size : 5751036
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0462
- obi_top5_std : 0.0082
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6916
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.199
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.19038
- balance_zone_mid:
0.19469
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785805200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786032000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6451
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
64
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7888
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786024800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.199
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7344
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.2217
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
22
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00325882 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
64
inside_close_ratio
0.7344
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
2.2217
Signaux confirmants (32)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:09 | 0.20624000 | +0.019% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 0.20624000 | +0.019% |
| 3 | 12:21 | 0.20524000 | -0.466% |
| 4 | 12:26 | 0.20524000 | -0.466% |
| 5 | 12:33 | 0.20524000 | -0.466% |
| 6 | 13:09 | 0.20654000 | +0.165% |
| 7 | 13:14 | 0.20654000 | +0.165% |
| 8 | 13:20 | 0.20600000 | -0.097% |
| 9 | 13:26 | 0.20600000 | -0.097% |
| 10 | 13:33 | 0.20600000 | -0.097% |
| 11 | 13:38 | 0.20502000 | -0.572% |
| 12 | 13:44 | 0.20502000 | -0.572% |
| 13 | 13:50 | 0.20395000 | -1.091% |
| 14 | 13:56 | 0.20395000 | -1.091% |
| 15 | 14:03 | 0.20395000 | -1.091% |
| 16 | 14:09 | 0.20431000 | -0.917% |
| 17 | 14:15 | 0.20431000 | -0.917% |
| 18 | 14:21 | 0.20583000 | -0.179% |
| 19 | 14:26 | 0.20583000 | -0.179% |
| 20 | 14:33 | 0.20583000 | -0.179% |
| 21 | 14:39 | 0.20555000 | -0.315% |
| 22 | 14:45 | 0.20555000 | -0.315% |
| 23 | 14:51 | 0.20554000 | -0.32% |
| 24 | 14:57 | 0.20554000 | -0.32% |
| 25 | 15:03 | 0.20554000 | -0.32% |
| 26 | 15:09 | 0.20426000 | -0.941% |
| 27 | 15:14 | 0.20426000 | -0.941% |
| 28 | 15:21 | 0.20375000 | -1.188% |
| 29 | 15:26 | 0.20375000 | -1.188% |
| 30 | 15:33 | 0.20375000 | -1.188% |
| 31 | 15:38 | 0.20366000 | -1.232% |
| 32 | 15:44 | 0.20366000 | -1.232% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6916ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.052
avg 0.046
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
0.096
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2063
Micro Price
0.2062
Spread
0.0485%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2000
Size
5,751,036.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2062 | 0.1944 | 0.2359 | 2.52 | 0.1984 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2062
- Stop Loss: 0.1944
- Take Profit: 0.2359
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1944 - 0.2062 = -0.0118
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2062 - 0.2359 = -0.0297
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0297 / -0.0118 = 2.5169
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138.9303 | 100 | 673.6343 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0118
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0118 = -677.97
Taille de position USD = -677.97 x 0.2062 = -139.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -677.97 avec un stoploss a 0.1944
Avec un position size USD de -139.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -677.97 x -0.0118 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -677.97 x -0.0297 = 20.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position -677.97
- Taille de position USD -139.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5169
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 14.4 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.72 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.77 $ | -3.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.579 % | 62.54 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2062 | 0.1944 | 0.2359 | 2.52 | 0.1984 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2062
- Stop Loss: 0.1944
- Take Profit: 0.2359
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1944 - 0.2062 = -0.0118
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2062 - 0.2359 = -0.0297
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0297 / -0.0118 = 2.5169
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.723%
(0.0118)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -1.261% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -1.431% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -2.701% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -3.264% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.551% | 0.5R | -3.623% | 0.6R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.551% | 0.5R | -4.699% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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