Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 743.27 ETHFI at 0.357$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3485 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3682 (3.02 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 13:10:05
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 13:10
→ 13:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.3574$
Qty 743.2727 ETHFI
Size 265.6828$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3485 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.62$
SL 0.3682 (-3.02%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.82
Status
win
PnL
+0.15%
/ +0.39$
MAE -0.13%
MFE +2.44%
0.8R
expires
06 Aug 13:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=37 <= threshold=41/51
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60637)
#37 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 13:00
score du 06/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0746
Quality Score
0.483
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 13:01
06/08 13:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.17×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 13:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 13:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4831
Score SMA
0.4355
Rank
#37
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0746
Rank Norm SMA
0.0877
Calculé le
06/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3341 | r1h: -1.013% · r4h: -0.062% · r1d: -3.83% · r3d: -11.05% · ema21_slope: -0.1309% · dist_ema21: -1.708% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2880 | rs_1h: -1.148% · rs_4h: -0.516% · rs_1d: -3.92% · rs_3d: -12.53% · beta_24h: 0.693 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6823 | rvol_20: 3.63× · zscore_50: 0.369 · trend: -6.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4963 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.298% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.022%
(0.0108)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -0.126% | 0.0R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.175% | 0.4R | -0.126% | 0.0R | 9.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.440% | 0.8R | -0.126% | 0.0R | 19.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.440% | 0.8R | -1.808% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.440% | 0.8R | -1.894% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.86
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.97 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.01% | -0.84 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_low | +0.89% | -0.32 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.16% | -0.05 | 06/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.396×ATR | p59 | -1.069×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.878×ATR | p0 | -0.51×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.615×ATR | p5 | -0.797×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.289×ATR | p57 | -1.1×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.36821321
- tp_price: 0.34851375
- atr: 0.00430528
- expires_at: 2026-08-06T23:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 52
- score: 0.3341
- delta_2h: -0.091
- extension_atr: -0.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0746
- confidence: 0.922
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3574 | 0.3682 | 0.3485 | 0.82 | 0.5973 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3574
- Stop Loss: 0.3682
- Take Profit: 0.3485
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3682 - 0.3574 = 0.0108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3574 - 0.3485 = 0.0089
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0108 = 0.8241
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 265.6828 | 100 | 743.2727 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0108
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0108 = 740.74
Taille de position USD = 740.74 x 0.3574 = 264.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 740.74 avec un stoploss a 0.3682
Avec un position size USD de 264.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 740.74 x 0.0108 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 740.74 x 0.0089 = 6.59
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.59$
Résumé
- Taille de position 740.74
- Taille de position USD 264.74
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.59
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8241
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.62 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.02 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.39 $ | 0.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0028 % | 0.09 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3574 | 0.3682 | 0.3485 | 0.82 | 0.5973 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3574
- Stop Loss: 0.3682
- Take Profit: 0.3485
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3682 - 0.3574 = 0.0108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3574 - 0.3485 = 0.0089
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0108 = 0.8241
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.022%
(0.0108)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -0.126% | 0.0R | 4.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.175% | 0.4R | -0.126% | 0.0R | 9.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.440% | 0.8R | -0.126% | 0.0R | 19.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.440% | 0.8R | -1.808% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.440% | 0.8R | -1.894% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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