Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.073 BTC at 64512$ per unit. Take profit: 64731.4924 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 64402.2538 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.073 BTC at 64512$ per unit. Take profit: 64731.4924 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 64402.2538 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 64512$
Qty 0.0729 BTC
Size 4702.633$ (margin 100$) (leverage 47)
Risk Setup
TP 64731.4924 (+0.34%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64402.2538 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5930
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 06/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5300 | r1h: 0.135% · r4h: 0.454% · r1d: 0.09% · r3d: 1.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0123% · dist_ema21: 0.131% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2751 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.696 · trend: 9.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5664 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.383% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.203% | 1.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.301% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.301% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.529% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.581% | 3.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 06/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 06/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 1.643×ATR | p0 | +0.262×ATR | p26 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 4.557×ATR | p79 | +0.298×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.088×ATR | p0 | +0.167×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.761×ATR | p0 | -0.019×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
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[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-04 23:00:00
[1] => 64500
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 01:00:00
[1] => 63921
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 05:00:00
[1] => 64490
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 63971
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 64425
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:00:00
[1] => 64967
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 64156
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 64945
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48656555547001
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.7372654155496
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2298148263607
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 17:15:00
[1] => 64505
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:15:00
[1] => 64986
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 23:00:00
[1] => 64546
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:15:00
[1] => 64425
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 05:00:00
[1] => 64966
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 07:15:00
[1] => 64938
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:45:00
[1] => 64967
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:30:00
[1] => 64156
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 64945
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 16:15:00
[1] => 64557
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48502579105397
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.11307836485586
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.6010192543024
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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)
Array
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[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
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[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 11:35:00
[1] => 64634
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 12:15:00
[1] => 64435
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 12:40:00
[1] => 64566
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:30:00
[1] => 64156
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 14:30:00
[1] => 64333
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:10:00
[1] => 64945
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:45:00
[1] => 64841
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 16:15:00
[1] => 64557
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 17:05:00
[1] => 64801
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 17:40:00
[1] => 64512
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.44598077190167
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.44797867063492
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
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64945
197
0.6078
0.655
0.3864
0.2202
0.5225
0.9729
0.2476
0.5438
0.4284
0.4439
0.5506
0.8701
0.009
0.039
1
0.0725
0.902
0.6
0.4
-1
4
1
0.5597
0.6732
3.5527
0.6
0.9729
3.4564
0.902
0.2722
0.2392
0.4
0.0058
0.4581
0.4964
0
0.8701
-1.4352
9.6164
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:42 | 64512.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:06 | 64476.00000000 | -0.056% |
| 3 | 14:12 | 64477.00000000 | -0.054% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 11:35:00 | 64634 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 12:15:00 | 64435 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 12:40:00 | 64566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:30:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:30:00 | 64333 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:10:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 15:45:00 | 64841 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 64557 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:05:00 | 64801 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 17:40:00 | 64512 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 17:15:00 | 64505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:15:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 23:00:00 | 64546 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:15:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 64966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:15:00 | 64938 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 08:45:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:30:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 64557 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 64500 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 63921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 64490 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64512 | 64402.2538 | 64731.4924 | 2 | 76385 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64402.2538 - 64512 = -109.7462
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64512 - 64731.4924 = -219.4924
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -219.4924 / -109.7462 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4702.633 | 100 | 0.0729 | 47.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -109.7462 = -0.07
Taille de position USD = -0.07 x 64512 = -4515.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.07 avec un stoploss a 64402.2538
Avec un position size USD de -4515.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.07 x -109.7462 = 7.68
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.68$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.07 x -219.4924 = 15.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.36$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2031 % | 119.4 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64512 | 64402.2538 | 64731.4924 | 2 | 76385 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64402.2538 - 64512 = -109.7462
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64512 - 64731.4924 = -219.4924
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -219.4924 / -109.7462 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64731.4924
[entry_price] => 64512
[stop_loss] => 64391.27918
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 18:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64731.4924
[entry_price] => 64512
[stop_loss] => 64380.30456
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 18:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 64731.4924
[entry_price] => 64512
[stop_loss] => 64369.32994
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 18:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 64731.4924
[entry_price] => 64512
[stop_loss] => 64347.3807
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 18:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.203% | 1.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.301% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.301% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.529% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.161% | 1.0R | -0.581% | 3.4R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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