Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 83.01 LTC at 45.516$ per unit. Take profit: 45.7087 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 45.4196 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 83.01 LTC at 45.516$ per unit. Take profit: 45.7087 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 45.4196 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 45.516$
Qty 83.0094 LTC
Size 3778.2573$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 45.7087 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.4196 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8052
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.446047 15m : 0.513966 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 06/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5330 | r1h: -0.171% · r4h: 0.376% · r1d: 0.64% · r3d: 3.45% · ema21_slope: 0.0359% · dist_ema21: 0.817% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5369 | rs_1h: 0.077% · rs_4h: 0.129% · rs_1d: 0.90% · rs_3d: 2.37% · beta_24h: 0.300 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2914 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.067 · trend: 21.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6721 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 36.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.460% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.229% | 1.1R | -0.303% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.229% | 1.1R | -0.360% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.290% | 1.4R | -0.360% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.334% | 1.6R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.393% | 1.9R | -0.448% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.10 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -2.1ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +1.11% | +0.02 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.69% | +0.11 | 06/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_low |
51%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | +0.04 | 06/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.473×ATR | p0 | -0.02×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 4.1×ATR | p70 | +1.162×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.139×ATR | p84 | +0.952×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.025×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64602.4
-0.00195665
64476
0.446047
64627.8
-0.00234936
64476
0.513966
64080.7
0.00643359
64493
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44.782
192
0.7583
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0.3651
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0.2212
0.1278
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1
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0.517
0.3274
3.6148
0.55
0.8895
3.2154
2.7903
0.4872
0.2316
0.28
-0.0043
0.5095
0.5455
0.34
0.9056
-0.9521
9.1294
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:07 | 45.51600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:13 | 45.51500000 | -0.002% |
| 3 | 14:31 | 45.52300000 | +0.015% |
| 4 | 14:36 | 45.44900000 | -0.147% |
| 5 | 14:42 | 45.42500000 | -0.2% |
| 6 | 14:48 | 45.43800000 | -0.171% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 10:20:00 | 45.002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:05:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 12:40:00 | 45.388 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:05:00 | 45.051 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:05:00 | 45.557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 14:30:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 45.762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 45.588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:10:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:05:00 | 45.514 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 21:30:00 | 45.101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:30:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:15:00 | 45.149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 44.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 45.123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 45.588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:00:00 | 45.514 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 44.533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 44.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 44.104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 45.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 44.702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 44.709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.516 | 45.4196 | 45.7087 | 2 | 51.905 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.4196 - 45.516 = -0.096399999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.516 - 45.7087 = -0.1927
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1927 / -0.096399999999996 = 1.999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3778.2573 | 100 | 83.0094 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.096399999999996 = -82.99
Taille de position USD = -82.99 x 45.516 = -3777.37
Donc, tu peux acheter -82.99 avec un stoploss a 45.4196
Avec un position size USD de -3777.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -82.99 x -0.096399999999996 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -82.99 x -0.1927 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2702 % | 127.57 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.516 | 45.4196 | 45.7087 | 2 | 51.905 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.4196 - 45.516 = -0.096399999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.516 - 45.7087 = -0.1927
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1927 / -0.096399999999996 = 1.999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.229% | 1.1R | -0.303% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.229% | 1.1R | -0.360% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.290% | 1.4R | -0.360% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.334% | 1.6R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.393% | 1.9R | -0.448% | 2.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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