Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 841.52 SUI at 0.68$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6559 (3.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6892 (1.4 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 13:43:26
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 13:43
→ 01:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.6797$
Qty 841.5153 SUI
Size 571.9611$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6559 (+3.5%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.6892 (-1.4%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+1.39%
/ +7.97$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +1.55%
1.1R
expires
07 Aug 01:43
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60614)
#10 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 13:00
score du 06/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7473
Quality Score
0.585
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 13:30
06/08 13:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 51
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.25×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.57×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 06/08 13:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 06/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5845
Score SMA
0.5123
Rank
#10
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7473
Rank Norm SMA
0.5125
Calculé le
06/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4738 | r1h: 0.531% · r4h: 0.472% · r1d: -2.09% · r3d: -2.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0950% · dist_ema21: -0.571% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4570 | rs_1h: 0.397% · rs_4h: 0.018% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: -3.91% · beta_24h: 1.309 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5691 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: 0.903 · trend: 70.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7620 | ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 39.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.672% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.398%
(0.0095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.672% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.846% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +0.998% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.358% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.552% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +2.229% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -3.6ATR | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.82% | -0.76 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +1.11% | -0.40 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.74 | bull_low | +0.87% | -0.14 | 06/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_low | +0.11% | +0.03 | 06/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.169×ATR | p63 | -0.641×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.256×ATR | p16 | -0.335×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.763×ATR | p47 | +0.388×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.326×ATR | p61 | +0.92×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7981
- reason: down_bo width=2.97×ATR dur=39b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.68918666
- tp_price: 0.65591335
- atr:
- score: 0.79808394160584
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T05:43:19.164279
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79808394160584
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0094
- obi_top10 : 0.0687
- micro_price : 0.67787495
- spread_pct : 0.014754
- mid_price : 0.67785
- bid_wall_price : 0.676
- bid_wall_size : 1208630.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.679
- ask_wall_size : 1219066.26
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.01
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7009
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.69533
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.682155
- balance_zone_mid:
0.6887425
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785898800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786035600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9663
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7981
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786006800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.682155
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7692
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
8
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5572
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
2
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00444159 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.7692
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5572
Signaux confirmants (22)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:43 | 0.67968000 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 13:49 | 0.67796000 | -0.256% |
| 3 | 13:55 | 0.67796000 | -0.256% |
| 4 | 14:02 | 0.67796000 | -0.256% |
| 5 | 14:08 | 0.67675000 | -0.434% |
| 6 | 14:13 | 0.67675000 | -0.434% |
| 7 | 14:19 | 0.67746000 | -0.33% |
| 8 | 14:25 | 0.67746000 | -0.33% |
| 9 | 14:31 | 0.67746000 | -0.33% |
| 10 | 14:37 | 0.67604000 | -0.538% |
| 11 | 14:43 | 0.67604000 | -0.538% |
| 12 | 14:49 | 0.67486000 | -0.712% |
| 13 | 14:55 | 0.67486000 | -0.712% |
| 14 | 15:02 | 0.67486000 | -0.712% |
| 15 | 15:19 | 0.67644000 | -0.48% |
| 16 | 15:25 | 0.67644000 | -0.48% |
| 17 | 15:31 | 0.67644000 | -0.48% |
| 18 | 15:37 | 0.67424000 | -0.803% |
| 19 | 15:43 | 0.67424000 | -0.803% |
| 20 | 15:49 | 0.67455000 | -0.758% |
| 21 | 15:55 | 0.67455000 | -0.758% |
| 22 | 16:02 | 0.67455000 | -0.758% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7009ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.009
avg 0.010
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.069
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6779
Micro Price
0.6779
Spread
0.0148%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6760
Size
1,208,630.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6790
Size
1,219,066.26
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6797 | 0.6892 | 0.6559 | 2.51 | 0.7017 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6797
- Stop Loss: 0.6892
- Take Profit: 0.6559
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6892 - 0.6797 = 0.0095000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6797 - 0.6559 = 0.0238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0238 / 0.0095000000000001 = 2.5053
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 571.9611 | 100 | 841.5153 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0095000000000001
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0095000000000001 = 842.11
Taille de position USD = 842.11 x 0.6797 = 572.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 842.11 avec un stoploss a 0.6892
Avec un position size USD de 572.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 842.11 x 0.0095000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 842.11 x 0.0238 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position 842.11
- Taille de position USD 572.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5053
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.5 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.97 $ | 1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6797 | 0.6892 | 0.6559 | 2.51 | 0.7017 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6797
- Stop Loss: 0.6892
- Take Profit: 0.6559
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6892 - 0.6797 = 0.0095000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6797 - 0.6559 = 0.0238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0238 / 0.0095000000000001 = 2.5053
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.398%
(0.0095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.672% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.846% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +0.998% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.358% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.552% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +2.229% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.