Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 8.34 AAVE at 88.818$ per unit. Take profit: 86.4187 (2.7 %) & Stop Loss: 89.7777 (1.08 %)
Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 8.34 AAVE at 88.818$ per unit. Take profit: 86.4187 (2.7 %) & Stop Loss: 89.7777 (1.08 %)
Position
Entry 88.818$
Qty 8.3357 AAVE
Size 740.3583$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 86.4187 (+2.7%)
TP $ 20$
SL 89.7777 (-1.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2899
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.71×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4551 | r1h: 0.070% · r4h: 0.742% · r1d: -1.85% · r3d: -4.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0860% · dist_ema21: 0.049% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4555 | rs_1h: 0.317% · rs_4h: 0.495% · rs_1d: -1.59% · rs_3d: -5.78% · beta_24h: 1.868 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1719 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.779 · trend: -38.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5580 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 59.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.854% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.402% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.467% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.908% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -2.662% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -2.662% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.18 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_high | +0.71% | -0.58 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.56 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.07 | 06/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.56 | range_low | -0.16% | +0.08 | 06/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.785×ATR | p23 | -0.565×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.158×ATR | p48 | -0.165×ATR | p18 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.212×ATR | p44 | +0.327×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.275×ATR | p30 | +0.154×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
87.439
141
0.3028
0.6455
0.3245
0.3187
0.3292
1
0.4554
0.3595
0.3503
0.2285
0.6962
0.2219
-0.0066
-0.0549
0
-0.1554
-1.3429
0.5
0.5
-1
8
1
0.3626
0.601
5.0317
0.5
1.4196
2.8735
-1.3429
0.7192
0.201
0.12
-0.0653
0.6361
0.5068
0.7276
0.2219
-7.2061
2.0548
1
0
0
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[price] => 93.703
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[price] => 91.747
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[label] => LL
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[price] => 89.576
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[price] => 92.145
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[label] => HH
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[price] => 90.485
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[price] => 92.152
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
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[price] => 88.11
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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[price] => 89.709
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[price] => 87.439
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Array
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[price] => 89.685
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[label] =>
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[price] => 90.326
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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[time] => 2026-08-05 21:00:00
[price] => 89.609
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-05 22:00:00
[price] => 90.194
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-05 23:45:00
[price] => 89.533
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[price] => 90.431
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[price] => 88.696
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[price] => 88.273
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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(
[time] => 2026-08-06 08:45:00
[price] => 88.8
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 10:00:00
[price] => 87.439
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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(
[time] => 2026-08-06 10:45:00
[price] => 88.07
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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(
[time] => 2026-08-06 11:00:00
[price] => 87.488
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[time] => 2026-08-06 11:45:00
[price] => 88.655
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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[time] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[price] => 87.768
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[time] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[price] => 89.465
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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[price] => 88.379
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[price] => 89.371
[kind] => high
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87.439
89.709
89.709
87.439
89.709
88.351
89.03
0.7686
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:38 | 88.81800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:44 | 88.81800000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.818 | 89.7777 | 86.4187 | 2.5 | 127.17 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89.7777 - 88.818 = 0.9597
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.818 - 86.4187 = 2.3993
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3993 / 0.9597 = 2.5001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 740.3583 | 100 | 8.3357 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.9597 = 8.34
Taille de position USD = 8.34 x 88.818 = 740.74
Donc, tu peux acheter 8.34 avec un stoploss a 89.7777
Avec un position size USD de 740.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8.34 x 0.9597 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8.34 x 2.3993 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.7 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1124 % | 102.95 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88.818 | 89.7777 | 86.4187 | 2.5 | 127.17 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 89.7777 - 88.818 = 0.9597
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 88.818 - 86.4187 = 2.3993
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3993 / 0.9597 = 2.5001
Array
(
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[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 86.4187
[entry_price] => 88.818
[stop_loss] => 89.87367
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 00:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.402% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.467% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.908% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -2.662% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -2.662% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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