Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 18.97 BCH at 213.51$ per unit. Take profit: 214.3532 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 213.0884 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 18.97 BCH at 213.51$ per unit. Take profit: 214.3532 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 213.0884 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 213.51$
Qty 18.9746 BCH
Size 4051.2612$ (margin 100$) (leverage 41)
Risk Setup
TP 214.3532 (+0.39%)
TP $ 16$
SL 213.0884 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4686
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 26.53×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.565876 15m : 0.512686 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 06/08 14:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5085 | r1h: -0.200% · r4h: 0.772% · r1d: -0.26% · r3d: 0.21% · ema21_slope: -0.0185% · dist_ema21: 0.329% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5056 | rs_1h: 0.047% · rs_4h: 0.525% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -0.87% · beta_24h: 1.133 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1796 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.665 · trend: -32.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5301 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.635% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.150% | 0.8R | -0.230% | 1.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.150% | 0.8R | -0.230% | 1.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.206% | 1.0R | -0.337% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.211% | 1.1R | -0.717% | 3.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.960% | 4.9R | -0.717% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.33 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.71% | -0.10 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.51 | range_low | +0.63% | +0.01 | 06/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.57 | range_low | -0.16% | +0.06 | 06/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 4.495×ATR | p67 | +0.076×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.097×ATR | p0 | +0.201×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.719×ATR | p41 | +0.373×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.735×ATR | p7 | -0.215×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64582.6
-0.00284349
64399
0.565876
64641.8
-0.00364823
64406
0.512686
64079.3
0.00539355
64425
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 00:00:00
[1] => 211.32
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 04:00:00
[1] => 214.34
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 15:00:00
[1] => 214.7
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-04 16:00:00
[1] => 212.14
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 209.92
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 217.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 212.27
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 05:00:00
[1] => 215.5
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 210.62
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 17:00:00
[1] => 214.95
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57222609909281
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4718450289621
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0558351533567
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 00:00:00
[1] => 213.36
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:30:00
[1] => 212.27
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 05:00:00
[1] => 215.5
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 06:00:00
[1] => 214.2
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 07:15:00
[1] => 215.49
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 09:15:00
[1] => 211.4
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 11:00:00
[1] => 210.76
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 210.62
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 17:00:00
[1] => 214.95
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 18:30:00
[1] => 213.64
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60479181204931
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0046807713911343
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.61318105223741
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:10:00
[1] => 210.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 14:30:00
[1] => 211.99
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 14:40:00
[1] => 213.18
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:20:00
[1] => 212.74
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:45:00
[1] => 214.11
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 16:30:00
[1] => 213.14
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 17:05:00
[1] => 214.95
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 17:40:00
[1] => 213.96
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 18:00:00
[1] => 214.75
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 18:40:00
[1] => 213.5
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57741559953435
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0046838407494103
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.58548009367682
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
210.62
194
0.5956
0.5325
0.3267
0.2718
0.3717
1
0.2749
0.5308
0.3996
0.2826
0.5592
0.6813
0.0444
0.0211
1
0.1264
0.2823
0.55
0.45
-1
5
1
0.4564
0.4003
3.56
0.6
1.5108
3.5695
0.2823
0.505
0.1928
0.28
-0.1281
0.5359
0.5646
0.3646
0.6813
-2.6821
5.7342
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:44 | 213.51000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:50 | 213.21000000 | -0.141% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 13:10:00 | 210.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:30:00 | 211.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 14:40:00 | 213.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 15:20:00 | 212.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:45:00 | 214.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 213.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:05:00 | 214.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 17:40:00 | 213.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 18:00:00 | 214.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:40:00 | 213.5 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 213.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 02:30:00 | 212.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 215.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 06:00:00 | 214.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 07:15:00 | 215.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:15:00 | 211.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 210.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 210.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 214.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:30:00 | 213.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 211.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:00:00 | 214.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 214.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 212.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 209.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 217.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 212.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:00:00 | 215.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 210.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 214.95 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.51 | 213.0884 | 214.3532 | 2 | 220.47 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.0884 - 213.51 = -0.42159999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.51 - 214.3532 = -0.8432
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8432 / -0.42159999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4051.2612 | 100 | 18.9746 | 41.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.42159999999998 = -18.98
Taille de position USD = -18.98 x 213.51 = -4052.42
Donc, tu peux acheter -18.98 avec un stoploss a 213.0884
Avec un position size USD de -4052.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -18.98 x -0.42159999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -18.98 x -0.8432 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2295 % | 116.2 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.51 | 213.0884 | 214.3532 | 2 | 220.47 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.0884 - 213.51 = -0.42159999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.51 - 214.3532 = -0.8432
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8432 / -0.42159999999998 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.3532
[entry_price] => 213.51
[stop_loss] => 213.04624
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 18:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.3532
[entry_price] => 213.51
[stop_loss] => 213.00408
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 21:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.3532
[entry_price] => 213.51
[stop_loss] => 212.96192
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 21:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 214.3532
[entry_price] => 213.51
[stop_loss] => 212.8776
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-06 22:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.150% | 0.8R | -0.230% | 1.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.150% | 0.8R | -0.230% | 1.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.206% | 1.0R | -0.337% | 1.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.211% | 1.1R | -0.717% | 3.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.960% | 4.9R | -0.717% | 3.6R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.