Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 922 ADA at 0.203$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2247 (10.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1943 (4.29 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 15:50:58
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 15:50
→ 03:50
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.203$
Qty 921.9989 ADA
Size 187.175$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2247 (+10.69%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.1943 (-4.29%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.72%
/ -1.35$
MAE -2.17%
MFE +1.17%
0.3R
expires
07 Aug 03:50
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60727)
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 15:00
score du 06/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8369
Quality Score
0.703
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
13.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 15:45
06/08 15:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 5.82×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 06/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7026
Score SMA
0.5496
Rank
#3
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8369
Rank Norm SMA
0.5760
Calculé le
06/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6753 | r1h: 0.499% · r4h: 2.631% · r1d: 8.04% · r3d: 5.89% · ema21_slope: 0.2544% · dist_ema21: 4.839% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7490 | rs_1h: 0.798% · rs_4h: 3.177% · rs_1d: 8.61% · rs_3d: 5.03% · beta_24h: 1.476 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4882 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.315 · trend: 139.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7678 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 13.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.774% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.286%
(0.0087)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.788% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.837% | 0.2R | -0.788% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.172% | 0.3R | -1.739% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.172% | 0.3R | -2.049% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.172% | 0.3R | -2.168% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.172% | 0.3R | -3.197% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -3.79% | +0.96 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.60% | +0.55 | 06/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.57 | 06/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.27% | +0.12 | 06/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.627×ATR | p70 | +1.66×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.18×ATR | p57 | +1.455×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.368×ATR | p42 | +0.518×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.037×ATR | p30 | -0.52×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8087
- reason: up_bo width=2.42×ATR dur=67b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.1943332
- tp_price: 0.22470201
- atr:
- score: 0.80872521155567
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T07:50:50.602360
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80872521155567
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1261
- obi_top10 : 0.0562
- micro_price : 0.20231293
- spread_pct : 0.049432
- mid_price : 0.20235
- bid_wall_price : 0.2
- bid_wall_size : 4944099.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.204
- ask_wall_size : 4800044.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0174
- obi_top5_std : 0.062
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6832
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.199
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.19038
- balance_zone_mid:
0.19469
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785805200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786042800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4159
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
67
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8087
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786024800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.199
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7015
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1239
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
23
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00356803 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
67
inside_close_ratio
0.7015
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1239
Signaux confirmants (38)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:50 | 0.20301000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 15:57 | 0.20301000 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 16:03 | 0.20301000 | +0.005% |
| 4 | 16:08 | 0.20180000 | -0.591% |
| 5 | 16:14 | 0.20180000 | -0.591% |
| 6 | 16:20 | 0.20241000 | -0.291% |
| 7 | 16:26 | 0.20241000 | -0.291% |
| 8 | 16:33 | 0.20241000 | -0.291% |
| 9 | 16:38 | 0.20205000 | -0.468% |
| 10 | 16:44 | 0.20205000 | -0.468% |
| 11 | 16:50 | 0.20193000 | -0.527% |
| 12 | 16:56 | 0.20193000 | -0.527% |
| 13 | 17:03 | 0.20193000 | -0.527% |
| 14 | 17:08 | 0.20255000 | -0.222% |
| 15 | 17:14 | 0.20255000 | -0.222% |
| 16 | 17:20 | 0.20370000 | +0.345% |
| 17 | 17:26 | 0.20370000 | +0.345% |
| 18 | 17:33 | 0.20370000 | +0.345% |
| 19 | 17:38 | 0.20437000 | +0.675% |
| 20 | 17:44 | 0.20437000 | +0.675% |
| 21 | 17:50 | 0.20434000 | +0.66% |
| 22 | 17:56 | 0.20434000 | +0.66% |
| 23 | 18:03 | 0.20434000 | +0.66% |
| 24 | 18:08 | 0.20500000 | +0.985% |
| 25 | 18:14 | 0.20500000 | +0.985% |
| 26 | 18:20 | 0.20460000 | +0.788% |
| 27 | 18:27 | 0.20460000 | +0.788% |
| 28 | 18:33 | 0.20460000 | +0.788% |
| 29 | 18:38 | 0.20303000 | +0.015% |
| 30 | 18:44 | 0.20303000 | +0.015% |
| 31 | 18:50 | 0.20236000 | -0.315% |
| 32 | 18:56 | 0.20236000 | -0.315% |
| 33 | 19:03 | 0.20236000 | -0.315% |
| 34 | 19:09 | 0.20082000 | -1.074% |
| 35 | 19:14 | 0.20082000 | -1.074% |
| 36 | 19:20 | 0.20092000 | -1.025% |
| 37 | 19:26 | 0.20092000 | -1.025% |
| 38 | 19:33 | 0.20092000 | -1.025% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6832ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.126
avg 0.017
± 0.062
OBI Top 10
0.056
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2024
Micro Price
0.2023
Spread
0.0494%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2000
Size
4,944,099.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2040
Size
4,800,044.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.203 | 0.1943 | 0.2247 | 2.49 | 0.2097 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.203
- Stop Loss: 0.1943
- Take Profit: 0.2247
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1943 - 0.203 = -0.0087
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.203 - 0.2247 = -0.0217
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0217 / -0.0087 = 2.4943
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.175 | 100 | 921.9989 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0087
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0087 = -919.54
Taille de position USD = -919.54 x 0.203 = -186.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -919.54 avec un stoploss a 0.1943
Avec un position size USD de -186.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -919.54 x -0.0087 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -919.54 x -0.0217 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -919.54
- Taille de position USD -186.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4943
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.69 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.29 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.35 $ | -0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1675 % | 50.58 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.203 | 0.1943 | 0.2247 | 2.49 | 0.2097 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.203
- Stop Loss: 0.1943
- Take Profit: 0.2247
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1943 - 0.203 = -0.0087
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.203 - 0.2247 = -0.0217
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0217 / -0.0087 = 2.4943
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.286%
(0.0087)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.788% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.837% | 0.2R | -0.788% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.172% | 0.3R | -1.739% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.172% | 0.3R | -2.049% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.172% | 0.3R | -2.168% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.172% | 0.3R | -3.197% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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