Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7.17 SOL at 72.777$ per unit. Take profit: 69.9891 (3.83 %) & Stop Loss: 73.8921 (1.53 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 18:12:30
hyperliquid
SOL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 18:12
→ 06:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 72.777$
Qty 7.174 SOL
Size 522.1003$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 69.9891 (+3.83%)
TP $ 20$
SL 73.8921 (-1.53%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.15%
/ -6.01$
MAE -1.31%
MFE +0.65%
0.4R
expires
07 Aug 06:12
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60858)
#35 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 18:00
score du 06/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3804
Quality Score
0.475
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
94.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 18:00
06/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#35 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 06/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 18:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4753
Score SMA
0.4896
Rank
#35
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3804
Rank Norm SMA
0.4563
Calculé le
06/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4695 | r1h: 0.150% · r4h: -0.334% · r1d: -1.58% · r3d: -1.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0629% · dist_ema21: -0.560% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4679 | rs_1h: 0.109% · rs_4h: -0.097% · rs_1d: -1.17% · rs_3d: -2.41% · beta_24h: 1.363 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1628 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.858 · trend: -34.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5658 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.508% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.532%
(1.1151)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.210% | 0.1R | -0.052% | 0.0R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -0.052% | 0.0R | 12.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -0.078% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -0.213% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.654% | 0.4R | -1.305% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -2.100% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.34 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.81 | range_high | +0.69% | -0.22 | 06/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.85 | range_low | +0.44% | -0.09 | 06/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.85 | range_low | -0.25% | -0.04 | 06/08 18:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 4.556×ATR | p63 | -0.305×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.366×ATR | p10 | -0.63×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.841×ATR | p14 | -0.33×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.586×ATR | p0 | -0.644×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7995
- reason: down_bo width=2.79×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 73.89214215
- tp_price: 69.98914461
- atr:
- score: 0.7995263313127
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T10:12:23.092842
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7995263313127
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0582
- obi_top10 : -0.0582
- micro_price : 72.77835762
- spread_pct : 0.001374
- mid_price : 72.7785
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.049
- obi_top5_std : 0.0133
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7129
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
74.35
- balance_zone_bottom:
73.3635
- balance_zone_mid:
73.85675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785891600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786053600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7873
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7995
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786035600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
73.3635
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6739
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.6571
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.35392155 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.6739
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.6571
Signaux confirmants (34)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:12 | 72.77700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:18 | 72.80800000 | +0.043% |
| 3 | 18:24 | 72.80800000 | +0.043% |
| 4 | 18:30 | 72.80800000 | +0.043% |
| 5 | 18:36 | 72.72200000 | -0.076% |
| 6 | 18:42 | 72.72200000 | -0.076% |
| 7 | 18:48 | 72.67000000 | -0.147% |
| 8 | 18:54 | 72.67000000 | -0.147% |
| 9 | 19:00 | 72.67000000 | -0.147% |
| 10 | 19:06 | 72.65100000 | -0.173% |
| 11 | 19:12 | 72.65100000 | -0.173% |
| 12 | 19:18 | 72.63800000 | -0.191% |
| 13 | 19:24 | 72.63800000 | -0.191% |
| 14 | 19:30 | 72.63800000 | -0.191% |
| 15 | 20:06 | 72.72800000 | -0.067% |
| 16 | 20:12 | 72.72800000 | -0.067% |
| 17 | 20:18 | 72.59600000 | -0.249% |
| 18 | 20:24 | 72.59600000 | -0.249% |
| 19 | 20:30 | 72.59600000 | -0.249% |
| 20 | 20:36 | 72.66500000 | -0.154% |
| 21 | 20:42 | 72.66500000 | -0.154% |
| 22 | 20:48 | 72.63900000 | -0.19% |
| 23 | 20:54 | 72.63900000 | -0.19% |
| 24 | 21:00 | 72.63900000 | -0.19% |
| 25 | 21:06 | 72.76500000 | -0.016% |
| 26 | 21:12 | 72.76500000 | -0.016% |
| 27 | 21:18 | 72.64200000 | -0.185% |
| 28 | 21:24 | 72.64200000 | -0.185% |
| 29 | 21:30 | 72.64200000 | -0.185% |
| 30 | 22:36 | 72.64300000 | -0.184% |
| 31 | 22:42 | 72.64300000 | -0.184% |
| 32 | 22:48 | 72.65800000 | -0.164% |
| 33 | 22:54 | 72.65800000 | -0.164% |
| 34 | 23:00 | 72.65800000 | -0.164% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7129ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.058
avg -0.049
± 0.013
OBI Top 10
-0.058
Microstructure
Mid Price
72.7785
Micro Price
72.7784
Spread
0.0014%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72.777 | 73.8921 | 69.9891 | 2.5 | 100.99 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 72.777
- Stop Loss: 73.8921
- Take Profit: 69.9891
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.8921 - 72.777 = 1.1151
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 72.777 - 69.9891 = 2.7879
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7879 / 1.1151 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 522.1003 | 100 | 7.174 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.1151
Taille de position = 8 / 1.1151 = 7.17
Taille de position USD = 7.17 x 72.777 = 521.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.17 avec un stoploss a 73.8921
Avec un position size USD de 521.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.17 x 1.1151 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.17 x 2.7879 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7.17
- Taille de position USD 521.81
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.83 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.01 $ | -1.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3054 % | 85.2 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72.777 | 73.8921 | 69.9891 | 2.5 | 100.99 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 72.777
- Stop Loss: 73.8921
- Take Profit: 69.9891
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.8921 - 72.777 = 1.1151
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 72.777 - 69.9891 = 2.7879
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7879 / 1.1151 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.532%
(1.1151)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.210% | 0.1R | -0.052% | 0.0R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -0.052% | 0.0R | 12.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -0.078% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -0.213% | 0.1R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.654% | 0.4R | -1.305% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.654% | 0.4R | -2.100% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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