Long Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 197.63 ZRO at 0.826$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9269 (12.26 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7853 (4.89 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 18:14:29
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 18:14
→ 06:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.8257$
Qty 197.6295 ZRO
Size 163.1886$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9269 (+12.26%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.7853 (-4.89%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.36%
/ -2.21$
MAE -1.36%
MFE +0.92%
0.2R
expires
07 Aug 06:14
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60876)
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 18:00
score du 06/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9259
Quality Score
0.685
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 18:00
06/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.42×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 21.07×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 18:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6853
Score SMA
0.6022
Rank
#3
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9259
Rank Norm SMA
0.7381
Calculé le
06/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7795 | r1h: 2.504% · r4h: 0.779% · r1d: 7.88% · r3d: 10.13% · ema21_slope: 0.3241% · dist_ema21: 2.950% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8005 | rs_1h: 2.464% · rs_4h: 1.016% · rs_1d: 8.29% · rs_3d: 8.76% · beta_24h: 0.702 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1732 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.831 · trend: -28.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7777 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.893%
(0.0404)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.214% | 0.0R | -1.186% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.214% | 0.0R | -1.186% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.214% | 0.0R | -1.194% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.922% | 0.2R | -1.194% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.922% | 0.2R | -1.356% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.126% | 0.2R | -2.209% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.79% | +0.42 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.37 | range_high | +0.69% | +0.75 | 06/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.39 | range_low | +0.44% | +0.60 | 06/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -2.4ATR | — | range_low | -0.17% | +0.15 | 06/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.337×ATR | p0 | +0.695×ATR | p64 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.28×ATR | p9 | +0.646×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.794×ATR | p9 | +0.894×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.466×ATR | p59 | +2.736×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7494
- reason: up_bo width=2.18×ATR dur=48b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.78525021
- tp_price: 0.92692947
- atr:
- score: 0.74939611975417
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T10:14:21.547772
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74939611975417
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1102
- obi_top10 : 0.1135
- micro_price : 0.82610345
- spread_pct : 0.060547
- mid_price : 0.82605
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0993
- obi_top5_std : 0.052
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7075
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.798915
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.773885
- balance_zone_mid:
0.7864
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785884400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786053600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1769
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
48
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7494
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.798915
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.625
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
12
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3322
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
18
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0114979 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.625
bars_since_breakout
12
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3322
Signaux confirmants (29)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:14 | 0.82573000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 18:20 | 0.82621000 | +0.062% |
| 3 | 18:26 | 0.82621000 | +0.062% |
| 4 | 18:33 | 0.82621000 | +0.062% |
| 5 | 18:38 | 0.82071000 | -0.604% |
| 6 | 18:44 | 0.82071000 | -0.604% |
| 7 | 18:50 | 0.81801000 | -0.931% |
| 8 | 18:56 | 0.81801000 | -0.931% |
| 9 | 19:03 | 0.81801000 | -0.931% |
| 10 | 19:08 | 0.82614000 | +0.053% |
| 11 | 19:14 | 0.82614000 | +0.053% |
| 12 | 19:20 | 0.82511000 | -0.071% |
| 13 | 19:26 | 0.82511000 | -0.071% |
| 14 | 19:32 | 0.82511000 | -0.071% |
| 15 | 19:38 | 0.82199000 | -0.449% |
| 16 | 19:44 | 0.82199000 | -0.449% |
| 17 | 19:50 | 0.81934000 | -0.77% |
| 18 | 19:56 | 0.81934000 | -0.77% |
| 19 | 20:03 | 0.81934000 | -0.77% |
| 20 | 20:08 | 0.81734000 | -1.012% |
| 21 | 20:14 | 0.81734000 | -1.012% |
| 22 | 20:20 | 0.81623000 | -1.147% |
| 23 | 20:26 | 0.81623000 | -1.147% |
| 24 | 20:32 | 0.81623000 | -1.147% |
| 25 | 20:38 | 0.81685000 | -1.072% |
| 26 | 20:44 | 0.81685000 | -1.072% |
| 27 | 20:50 | 0.81901000 | -0.81% |
| 28 | 20:56 | 0.81901000 | -0.81% |
| 29 | 21:03 | 0.81901000 | -0.81% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7075ms
Confidence avant OB :
75%
→
75%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.110
avg 0.099
± 0.052
OBI Top 10
0.114
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8261
Micro Price
0.8261
Spread
0.0605%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8257 | 0.7853 | 0.9269 | 2.5 | 1.0504 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8257
- Stop Loss: 0.7853
- Take Profit: 0.9269
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7853 - 0.8257 = -0.0404
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8257 - 0.9269 = -0.1012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1012 / -0.0404 = 2.505
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163.1886 | 100 | 197.6295 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0404
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0404 = -198.02
Taille de position USD = -198.02 x 0.8257 = -163.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -198.02 avec un stoploss a 0.7853
Avec un position size USD de -163.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -198.02 x -0.0404 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -198.02 x -0.1012 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -198.02
- Taille de position USD -163.51
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.505
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.26 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.89 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.21 $ | -1.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3564 % | 27.72 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8257 | 0.7853 | 0.9269 | 2.5 | 1.0504 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8257
- Stop Loss: 0.7853
- Take Profit: 0.9269
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7853 - 0.8257 = -0.0404
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8257 - 0.9269 = -0.1012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1012 / -0.0404 = 2.505
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.893%
(0.0404)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.214% | 0.0R | -1.186% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.214% | 0.0R | -1.186% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.214% | 0.0R | -1.194% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.922% | 0.2R | -1.194% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.922% | 0.2R | -1.356% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.126% | 0.2R | -2.209% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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