Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 113.01 LTC at 45.409$ per unit. Take profit: 45.5506 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 45.3382 (0.16 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 113.01 LTC at 45.409$ per unit. Take profit: 45.5506 (0.31 %) & Stop Loss: 45.3382 (0.16 %)
Position
Entry 45.409$
Qty 113.0074 LTC
Size 5131.5541$ (margin 100$) (leverage 51)
Risk Setup
TP 45.5506 (+0.31%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.3382 (-0.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7648
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.19×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.363467 15m : 0.523196 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5449 | r1h: 0.178% · r4h: -0.147% · r1d: 0.77% · r3d: 2.81% · ema21_slope: 0.0522% · dist_ema21: 0.524% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5344 | rs_1h: 0.138% · rs_4h: 0.090% · rs_1d: 1.19% · rs_3d: 1.44% · beta_24h: 0.353 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1791 | rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.450 · trend: -43.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6596 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.452% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.200% | 1.3R | -0.170% | 1.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.231% | 1.5R | -0.170% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.630% | 4.0R | -0.170% | 1.1R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.630% | 4.0R | -0.214% | 1.4R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.191% | 7.6R | -0.214% | 1.4R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.00 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.68 | range_high | +0.56% | +0.16 | 06/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.14 | 06/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.20% | -0.02 | 06/08 18:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.081×ATR | p0 | +0.27×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 21b | — | 3.465×ATR | p70 | +0.588×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.649×ATR | p4 | +0.078×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.733×ATR | p3 | -0.4×ATR | p41 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64472
-0.00245139
64314
0.363467
64576.2
-0.00303969
64380
0.523196
64149
0.00406819
64410
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45.826
194
0.762
0.654
0.3565
0.228
0.4617
1
0.339
0.5781
0.7452
0.2773
0.6362
0.8197
0.0838
0.0809
1
0.6772
1.8649
0.7
0.3
1
5
1
0.544
0.5446
4.9725
0.6
1.6211
5.7703
1.8649
0.279
0.2568
0.2
-0.064
0.4636
0.5454
0.7739
0.8197
-1.7144
7.7938
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:24 | 45.40900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:24 | 45.38400000 | -0.055% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 14:30:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 45.762 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 45.588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:10:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:45:00 | 45.378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 45.531 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:50:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:40:00 | 45.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:35:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 22:20:00 | 45.406 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 05:15:00 | 45.149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 44.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 45.123 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 16:30:00 | 45.588 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:45:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 21:30:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 22:00:00 | 45.45 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 44.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 44.104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 03:00:00 | 45.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 44.702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 44.709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.409 | 45.3382 | 45.5506 | 2 | 54.518 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.3382 - 45.409 = -0.070799999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.409 - 45.5506 = -0.1416
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1416 / -0.070799999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5131.5541 | 100 | 113.0074 | 51.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.070799999999998 = -112.99
Taille de position USD = -112.99 x 45.409 = -5130.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -112.99 avec un stoploss a 45.3382
Avec un position size USD de -5130.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -112.99 x -0.070799999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -112.99 x -0.1416 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1696 % | 108.79 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.409 | 45.3382 | 45.5506 | 2 | 54.518 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.3382 - 45.409 = -0.070799999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.409 - 45.5506 = -0.1416
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1416 / -0.070799999999998 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.200% | 1.3R | -0.170% | 1.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.231% | 1.5R | -0.170% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.630% | 4.0R | -0.170% | 1.1R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.630% | 4.0R | -0.214% | 1.4R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.191% | 7.6R | -0.214% | 1.4R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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