Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 170.48 NEAR at 1.666$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5483 (7.04 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7125 (2.82 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 18:14:56
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 18:14
→ 06:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.6656$
Qty 170.4783 NEAR
Size 283.9486$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5483 (+7.04%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.7125 (-2.82%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.94%
/ +2.66$
MAE -0.21%
MFE +2.64%
0.9R
expires
07 Aug 06:14
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 60879)
#33 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 18:00
score du 06/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4631
Quality Score
0.477
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 18:00
06/08 18:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#33 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 50
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 18:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4773
Score SMA
0.4857
Rank
#33
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4631
Rank Norm SMA
0.3844
Calculé le
06/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4371 | r1h: 0.478% · r4h: -0.264% · r1d: -1.86% · r3d: -5.02% · ema21_slope: -0.1328% · dist_ema21: -1.259% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4463 | rs_1h: 0.437% · rs_4h: -0.027% · rs_1d: -1.45% · rs_3d: -6.40% · beta_24h: 0.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1464 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -1.001 · trend: -40.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7019 | ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.907% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.816%
(0.0469)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.318% | 0.1R | -0.060% | 0.0R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.709% | 0.3R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.709% | 0.3R | -0.138% | 0.1R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.642% | 0.9R | -0.210% | 0.1R | 12.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.642% | 0.9R | -0.210% | 0.1R | 12.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.139% | 1.8R | -0.210% | 0.1R | 24.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.38
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.79% | -0.91 | 05/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_high | +0.69% | -0.58 | 06/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.44% | -0.28 | 06/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | — | range_low | -0.17% | +0.02 | 06/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.864×ATR | p60 | -0.483×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 4.155×ATR | p55 | -1.074×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.701×ATR | p54 | -0.392×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 0.679×ATR | p3 | +0.351×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7666
- reason: down_bo width=2.51×ATR dur=43b phase=extending
- stop_price: 1.7125268
- tp_price: 1.54828301
- atr:
- score: 0.76663134660706
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T10:14:49.390791
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76663134660706
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.052
- obi_top10 : 0.052
- micro_price : 1.66292607
- spread_pct : 0.006014
- mid_price : 1.66295
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0511
- obi_top5_std : 0.0005
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6822
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.7293
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.69285
- balance_zone_mid:
1.711075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785902400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786053600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5107
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7666
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786024800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.69285
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7209
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
8
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.877
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01451798 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.7209
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
1.877
Signaux confirmants (39)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:14 | 1.66560000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:09 | 1.66450000 | -0.066% |
| 3 | 19:15 | 1.66450000 | -0.066% |
| 4 | 19:21 | 1.66700000 | +0.084% |
| 5 | 19:27 | 1.66700000 | +0.084% |
| 6 | 19:33 | 1.66700000 | +0.084% |
| 7 | 19:38 | 1.65770000 | -0.474% |
| 8 | 19:44 | 1.65770000 | -0.474% |
| 9 | 19:50 | 1.65530000 | -0.618% |
| 10 | 19:56 | 1.65530000 | -0.618% |
| 11 | 20:03 | 1.65530000 | -0.618% |
| 12 | 20:08 | 1.65850000 | -0.426% |
| 13 | 20:14 | 1.65850000 | -0.426% |
| 14 | 20:20 | 1.65890000 | -0.402% |
| 15 | 20:26 | 1.65890000 | -0.402% |
| 16 | 20:33 | 1.65890000 | -0.402% |
| 17 | 20:38 | 1.66200000 | -0.216% |
| 18 | 20:44 | 1.66200000 | -0.216% |
| 19 | 20:50 | 1.66260000 | -0.18% |
| 20 | 20:56 | 1.66260000 | -0.18% |
| 21 | 21:03 | 1.66260000 | -0.18% |
| 22 | 21:08 | 1.66670000 | +0.066% |
| 23 | 21:14 | 1.66670000 | +0.066% |
| 24 | 21:20 | 1.66160000 | -0.24% |
| 25 | 21:26 | 1.66160000 | -0.24% |
| 26 | 21:33 | 1.66160000 | -0.24% |
| 27 | 21:38 | 1.66300000 | -0.156% |
| 28 | 21:44 | 1.66300000 | -0.156% |
| 29 | 21:50 | 1.66210000 | -0.21% |
| 30 | 21:56 | 1.66210000 | -0.21% |
| 31 | 22:03 | 1.66210000 | -0.21% |
| 32 | 22:20 | 1.66880000 | +0.192% |
| 33 | 22:26 | 1.66880000 | +0.192% |
| 34 | 22:33 | 1.66880000 | +0.192% |
| 35 | 22:38 | 1.66490000 | -0.042% |
| 36 | 22:44 | 1.66490000 | -0.042% |
| 37 | 22:50 | 1.66070000 | -0.294% |
| 38 | 22:56 | 1.66070000 | -0.294% |
| 39 | 23:03 | 1.66070000 | -0.294% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6822ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.052
avg 0.051
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.052
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.6630
Micro Price
1.6629
Spread
0.0060%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6656 | 1.7125 | 1.5483 | 2.5 | 2.3841 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6656
- Stop Loss: 1.7125
- Take Profit: 1.5483
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7125 - 1.6656 = 0.0469
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6656 - 1.5483 = 0.1173
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1173 / 0.0469 = 2.5011
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283.9486 | 100 | 170.4783 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0469
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0469 = 170.58
Taille de position USD = 170.58 x 1.6656 = 284.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 170.58 avec un stoploss a 1.7125
Avec un position size USD de 284.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 170.58 x 0.0469 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 170.58 x 0.1173 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 170.58
- Taille de position USD 284.12
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5011
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.04 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.66 $ | 0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2101 % | 7.46 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6656 | 1.7125 | 1.5483 | 2.5 | 2.3841 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6656
- Stop Loss: 1.7125
- Take Profit: 1.5483
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7125 - 1.6656 = 0.0469
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6656 - 1.5483 = 0.1173
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1173 / 0.0469 = 2.5011
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.816%
(0.0469)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.318% | 0.1R | -0.060% | 0.0R | 5.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.709% | 0.3R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.709% | 0.3R | -0.138% | 0.1R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.642% | 0.9R | -0.210% | 0.1R | 12.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.642% | 0.9R | -0.210% | 0.1R | 12.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.139% | 1.8R | -0.210% | 0.1R | 24.5× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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