Short Trade on ONDO

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06 Aug 2026 at 20:10:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 863.24 ONDO at 0.358$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3492 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3674 (2.57 %)

ONDO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 20:10 → 20:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3582$

Qty 863.242 ONDO

Size 309.1787$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3492 (+2.51%)

TP $ 7.77$

SL 0.3674 (-2.57%)

SL $ 7.94$

RR 0.98

Status win PnL +0.48% / +1.48$ MAE -0.25% MFE +2.44% 1.0R expires 06 Aug 20:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=31 <= threshold=39/49

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 60984)

#31 / 49 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4292

Quality Score

0.468

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

8.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 20:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#31 / 49 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.57 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#31 / 49 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.57 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	5.50×ATR
1d	clear	1.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 20:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

06/08 20:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 06/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

06/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

06/08 19:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 06/08 20:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4681

Score SMA

0.4922

Rank

#31 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4292

Rank Norm SMA

0.4096

Calculé le

06/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3230	r1h: -0.586% · r4h: -2.427% · r1d: -4.23% · r3d: -3.67% · ema21_slope: -0.1383% · dist_ema21: -2.664%
Force Relative	25%	0.3560	rs_1h: -0.392% · rs_4h: -2.084% · rs_1d: -3.56% · rs_3d: -4.78% · beta_24h: 1.708
Volume	20%	0.4287	rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.013 · trend: 130.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6429	ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.100% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.568% (0.0092)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.354%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.354%	0.5R	-0.251%	0.1R	5.4×	24
4h ★	+2.440%	1.0R	-0.251%	0.1R	9.7×	48
8h	+4.082%	1.6R	-0.251%	0.1R	16.2×	96
12h	+4.082%	1.6R	-0.251%	0.1R	16.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.38

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.64	bear_high	-3.79%	-0.18	05/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	—	0.54	range_high	+0.47%	-0.49	06/08 16:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 42%	late	—	—	0.63	range_low	+0.07%	-0.31	06/08 19:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 50%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	-0.48%	-0.22	06/08 19:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.571×ATR	p0	-0.433×ATR	p50
4h	↓ down	late	8b	—	3.637×ATR	p54	-1.205×ATR	p90
1h	↓ down	late	8b	—	3.641×ATR	p78	-1.441×ATR	p93
15m	↓ down	mid	8b	—	2.86×ATR	p40	-1.042×ATR	p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.36742739
tp_price: 0.349206
atr: 0.00370695
expires_at: 2026-08-07T06:10:08+00:00

Details

rank: 49
total: 50
score: 0.323
delta_2h: -0.0626
extension_atr: -2.28
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4292
confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3582	0.3674	0.3492	0.98	0.3435

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3582
Stop Loss: 0.3674
Take Profit: 0.3492

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3674 - 0.3582 = 0.0092
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3582 - 0.3492 = 0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0092 = 0.9783

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
309.1787	100	863.242	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0092

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092 = 869.57

Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 0.3582 = 311.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3674

Avec un position size USD de 311.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 869.57 x 0.009 = 7.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.83$

Résumé

Taille de position 869.57
Taille de position USD 311.48
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 7.83
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9783

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	7.77 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.57 %	7.94 $

PNL	PNL %
1.48 $	0.48

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3582	0.3674	0.3492	0.98	0.3435

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3582
Stop Loss: 0.3674
Take Profit: 0.3492

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3674 - 0.3582 = 0.0092
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3582 - 0.3492 = 0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0092 = 0.9783

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.568% (0.0092)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.354%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.354%	0.5R	-0.251%	0.1R	5.4×	24
4h ★	+2.440%	1.0R	-0.251%	0.1R	9.7×	48
8h	+4.082%	1.6R	-0.251%	0.1R	16.2×	96
12h	+4.082%	1.6R	-0.251%	0.1R	16.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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