Short Trade on SKR

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06 Aug 2026 at 20:10:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 17758.84 SKR at 0.00722$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007042 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.007673 (6.23 %)

SKR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 20:10 → 21:00 · 49 minutes

Position

Entry 0.007223$

Qty 17758.835 SKR

Size 128.2721$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.007042 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.21$

SL 0.007673 (-6.23%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.4

Status loss PnL -0.61% / -0.78$ MAE -2.31% MFE +0.79% 0.1R expires 06 Aug 21:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=24 <= threshold=39/49

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61004)

#49 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0552

Quality Score

0.410

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#49 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.23 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#49 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.23 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	5.15×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 20:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

06/08 20:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 05/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 06/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 06/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

05/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

06/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

06/08 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	compression	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 06/08 20:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4101

Score SMA

0.4274

Rank

#49 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0552

Rank Norm SMA

0.1328

Calculé le

06/08/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3402	r1h: -0.069% · r4h: -1.167% · r1d: -9.34% · r3d: 11.39% · ema21_slope: -0.3950% · dist_ema21: -4.256%
Force Relative	25%	0.4654	rs_1h: 0.125% · rs_4h: -0.824% · rs_1d: -8.67% · rs_3d: 10.29% · beta_24h: -1.302
Volume	20%	0.1472	rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.792 · trend: -61.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4148	ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 64.4 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.424% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -6.230% (0.0005)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.789%	0.1R	-2.312%	0.4R	0.3×	12
1.2h ★	+0.789%	0.1R	-2.312%	0.4R	0.3×	13
2h	+0.789%	0.1R	-5.067%	0.8R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.789%	0.1R	-8.390%	1.4R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.789%	0.1R	-8.390%	1.4R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.789%	0.1R	-8.390%	1.4R	0.1×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.22

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-3.79%	-0.84	05/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.16	range_high	+0.47%	+0.72	06/08 16:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.09	range_low	+0.07%	-0.77	06/08 19:00
15m	↓ down	late_trend	bear_trend	moderate	fading	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	—	range_low	-0.44%	-0.14	06/08 19:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	1b	—	3.136×ATR	p10	+0.141×ATR	p17
4h	↓ down	late	10b	—	5.519×ATR	p87	-0.62×ATR	p62
1h	↓ down	late	20b	—	7.475×ATR	p89	-1.071×ATR	p73
15m	↓ down	late	29b	—	9.641×ATR	p100	-0.779×ATR	p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00767348
tp_price: 0.00704242
atr: 0.00018019
expires_at: 2026-08-07T06:10:08+00:00

Details

rank: 46
total: 50
score: 0.3402
delta_2h: -0.0176
extension_atr: -1.42
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0552
confidence: 0.918

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.007223	0.007673	0.007042	0.4	0.01878

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.007223
Stop Loss: 0.007673
Take Profit: 0.007042

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.007673 - 0.007223 = 0.00045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.007223 - 0.007042 = 0.000181
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000181 / 0.00045 = 0.4022

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
128.2721	100	17758.835	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00045

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00045 = 17777.78

Taille de position USD = 17777.78 x 0.007223 = 128.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 17777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.007673

Avec un position size USD de 128.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17777.78 x 0.00045 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17777.78 x 0.000181 = 3.22

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.22$

Résumé

Taille de position 17777.78
Taille de position USD 128.41
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.22
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4022

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	3.21 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.23 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.78 $	-0.61

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.3121 %	37.11 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.007223	0.007673	0.007042	0.4	0.01878

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.007223
Stop Loss: 0.007673
Take Profit: 0.007042

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.007673 - 0.007223 = 0.00045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.007223 - 0.007042 = 0.000181
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000181 / 0.00045 = 0.4022

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007042
            [entry_price] => 0.007223
            [stop_loss] => 0.007718
            [rr_ratio] => 0.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 03:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007042
            [entry_price] => 0.007223
            [stop_loss] => 0.007763
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 03:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007042
            [entry_price] => 0.007223
            [stop_loss] => 0.007808
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 03:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -6.230% (0.0005)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.789%	0.1R	-2.312%	0.4R	0.3×	12
1.2h ★	+0.789%	0.1R	-2.312%	0.4R	0.3×	13
2h	+0.789%	0.1R	-5.067%	0.8R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.789%	0.1R	-8.390%	1.4R	0.1×	48
8h	+0.789%	0.1R	-8.390%	1.4R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.789%	0.1R	-8.390%	1.4R	0.1×	144

computed 1 month ago

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