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Long Trade on LIT

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06 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 79.93 LIT at 2.385$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4442 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2845 (4.2 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 06 Aug 2026 22:10 → 04:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 2.3846$

Qty 79.9304 LIT

Size 190.6021$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.4442 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.76$

SL 2.2845 (-4.2%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.6

Status loss PnL -0.88% / -1.69$ MAE -1.83% MFE +1.18% 0.3R expires 07 Aug 04:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61099)
#1 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9898

Quality Score
0.845
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
16.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 22:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 2.12×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

06/08 22:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

06/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

06/08 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range compression — 0
Tactical range compression — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.70
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 22:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.8448
Score SMA
0.6465
Rank
#1 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9898
Rank Norm SMA
0.9064
Calculé le
06/08/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9153 r1h: 1.634% · r4h: 5.098% · r1d: 11.01% · r3d: 20.30% · ema21_slope: 0.3999% · dist_ema21: 6.651%
Force Relative 25% 0.9224 rs_1h: 1.539% · rs_4h: 5.199% · rs_1d: 11.35% · rs_3d: 19.48% · beta_24h: 1.416
Volume 20% 0.5896 rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 0.487 · trend: 105.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8113 ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 25.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.591% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.198% (0.1001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.178% 0.3R -0.084% 0.0R 14.1× 12
2h +1.178% 0.3R -1.216% 0.3R 1.0× 24
4h +1.178% 0.3R -1.833% 0.4R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.178% 0.3R -1.833% 0.4R 0.6× 72
8h +1.178% 0.3R -1.833% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +3.908% 0.9R -1.833% 0.4R 2.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 39% late — — — bear_high -3.92% +0.59 06/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.36 range_high +0.52% +0.93 06/08 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high_confirmed
73%
choppy 54% late — — 0.46 range_low +0.30% +0.82 06/08 21:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.44 range_low -0.18% +0.60 06/08 21:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 4b — 2.394×ATR p0 +1.134×ATR p88
4h ↑ up late 17b — 5.841×ATR p91 +1.957×ATR p99
1h ↑ up late 5b — 4.13×ATR p85 +1.932×ATR p98
15m ↑ up late 22b — 7.314×ATR p96 +1.029×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.28451295
  2. tp_price: 2.444215
  3. atr: 0.04003482
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-07T08:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.9153
  4. delta_2h: 0.0008
  5. extension_atr: 2.38
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9898
  9. confidence: 0.979

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3846 2.2845 2.4442 0.6 4.2151
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3846
  • Stop Loss: 2.2845
  • Take Profit: 2.4442

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2845 - 2.3846 = -0.1001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3846 - 2.4442 = -0.0596

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0596 / -0.1001 = 0.5954

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
190.6021 100 79.9304 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1001 = -79.92

Taille de position USD = -79.92 x 2.3846 = -190.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -79.92 avec un stoploss a 2.2845

Avec un position size USD de -190.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -79.92 x -0.1001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -79.92 x -0.0596 = 4.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.76$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -79.92
  • Taille de position USD -190.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.76
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5954

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.76 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.69 $ -0.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8326 % 43.66 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3846 2.2845 2.4442 0.6 4.2151
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3846
  • Stop Loss: 2.2845
  • Take Profit: 2.4442

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2845 - 2.3846 = -0.1001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3846 - 2.4442 = -0.0596

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0596 / -0.1001 = 0.5954

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.198% (0.1001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.178% 0.3R -0.084% 0.0R 14.1× 12
2h +1.178% 0.3R -1.216% 0.3R 1.0× 24
4h +1.178% 0.3R -1.833% 0.4R 0.6× 48
6h ★ +1.178% 0.3R -1.833% 0.4R 0.6× 72
8h +1.178% 0.3R -1.833% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +3.908% 0.9R -1.833% 0.4R 2.1× 144

computed 1 month ago

Commentaires

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