Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2020.65 CC at 0.0911$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08879 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09503 (4.35 %)
06 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04
hyperliquid
CC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
06 Aug 2026 22:10
→ 23:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.09107$
Qty 2020.6511 CC
Size 184.0207$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08879 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.61$
SL 0.09503 (-4.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.58
Status
win
PnL
+0.77%
/ +1.41$
MAE -1.48%
MFE +1.21%
0.3R
expires
06 Aug 23:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=29 <= threshold=38/48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61097)
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 06/08/2026 22:00
score du 06/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2404
Quality Score
0.420
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
06/08 22:02
06/08 22:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 22:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 06/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 06/08 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4198
Score SMA
0.4296
Rank
#46
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2404
Rank Norm SMA
0.1040
Calculé le
06/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1192 | r1h: -0.736% · r4h: -2.218% · r1d: -11.76% · r3d: -21.70% · ema21_slope: -0.5124% · dist_ema21: -6.241% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1713 | rs_1h: -0.831% · rs_4h: -2.117% · rs_1d: -11.43% · rs_3d: -22.53% · beta_24h: -0.405 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4561 | rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: 0.192 · trend: 83.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 62.6 (trend) · Chop: 18.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.348%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.185% | 0.3R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.210% | 0.3R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 13 |
| 2h | +3.113% | 0.7R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.724% | 1.1R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.724% | 1.1R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.724% | 1.1R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.06
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
choppy 49% | late | near -1.9ATR | — | — | bear_high | -3.92% | -1.00 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | — | 0.18 | range_high | +0.52% | -0.98 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
ranging_calm 53% | late | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | +0.30% | -0.80 | 06/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.00 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.10 | 06/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 10.341×ATR | p94 | -2.613×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 8.059×ATR | p97 | -2.62×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.736×ATR | p14 | -1.694×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.859×ATR | p3 | -0.192×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.09502912
- tp_price: 0.08879325
- atr: 0.00158365
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T08:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 49
- score: 0.1192
- delta_2h: -0.0085
- extension_atr: -2.95
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2404
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09107 | 0.09503 | 0.08879 | 0.58 | 0.09802 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09107
- Stop Loss: 0.09503
- Take Profit: 0.08879
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09503 - 0.09107 = 0.00396
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09107 - 0.08879 = 0.00228
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00228 / 0.00396 = 0.5758
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184.0207 | 100 | 2020.6511 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00396
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00396 = 2020.2
Taille de position USD = 2020.2 x 0.09107 = 183.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 2020.2 avec un stoploss a 0.09503
Avec un position size USD de 183.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2020.2 x 0.00396 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2020.2 x 0.00228 = 4.61
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.61$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2020.2
- Taille de position USD 183.98
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.61
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5758
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.61 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.41 $ | 0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4846 % | 34.14 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09107 | 0.09503 | 0.08879 | 0.58 | 0.09802 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09107
- Stop Loss: 0.09503
- Take Profit: 0.08879
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09503 - 0.09107 = 0.00396
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09107 - 0.08879 = 0.00228
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00228 / 0.00396 = 0.5758
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.348%
(0.0040)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.185% | 0.3R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.210% | 0.3R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 13 |
| 2h | +3.113% | 0.7R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.724% | 1.1R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.724% | 1.1R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.724% | 1.1R | -1.485% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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