Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 526662.28 PUMP at 0.00236$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002394 (1.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002349 (0.63 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 526662.28 PUMP at 0.00236$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002394 (1.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002349 (0.63 %)
Position
Entry 0.002364$
Qty 526662.2778 PUMP
Size 1245.0296$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002394 (+1.27%)
TP $ 15.8$
SL 0.002349 (-0.63%)
SL $ 7.9$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7079
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 22:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.316203 15m : 0.270007 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5407 | r1h: -0.665% · r4h: 0.378% · r1d: -1.08% · r3d: 10.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0239% · dist_ema21: 0.608% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5496 | rs_1h: -0.760% · rs_4h: 0.479% · rs_1d: -0.74% · rs_3d: 9.67% · beta_24h: 0.704 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1568 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -59.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5145 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.684% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -0.254% | 0.4R | 9.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -0.846% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.369% | 3.7R | -3.680% | 5.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -4.822% | 7.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -4.822% | 7.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.92% | +1.00 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.46 | range_high | +0.52% | +0.70 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_low | +0.30% | +0.27 | 06/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.4ATR | 0.35 | range_low | -0.20% | -0.05 | 06/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 5.568×ATR | p90 | +0.652×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.157×ATR | p16 | +0.26×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.525×ATR | p0 | +0.505×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.77×ATR | p21 | +0.016×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64365.8
4.82745E-5
64369
0.316203
64485.5
-0.000799091
64434
0.270007
64176.7
0.00294905
64366
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0.3842
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-0.231
0.3397
0.5945
0.095
0.6136
-5.9353
9.4234
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:22 | 0.00236400 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:28 | 0.00235900 | -0.212% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 21:30:00 | 0.002405 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 22:30:00 | 0.002368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 23:05:00 | 0.002394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:25:00 | 0.002356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 23:55:00 | 0.002396 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 00:40:00 | 0.002372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:05:00 | 0.002414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:35:00 | 0.002405 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:10:00 | 0.002364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:20:00 | 0.002364 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 08:45:00 | 0.002361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 11:15:00 | 0.002285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 13:45:00 | 0.002357 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 15:30:00 | 0.002282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 18:00:00 | 0.002407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:30:00 | 0.002358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:30:00 | 0.002426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 0.002356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 0.002414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 0.002364 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.00259 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.002306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.002282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.002426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.002356 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002364 | 0.002349 | 0.002394 | 2 | 0.003809 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002349 - 0.002364 = -1.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002364 - 0.002394 = -3.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0E-5 / -1.5E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1245.0296 | 100 | 526662.2778 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5E-5 = -533333.33
Taille de position USD = -533333.33 x 0.002364 = -1260.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -533333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.002349
Avec un position size USD de -1260.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -533333.33 x -1.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -533333.33 x -3.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.27 % | 15.8 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.8 $ | 1.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2538 % | 40 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002364 | 0.002349 | 0.002394 | 2 | 0.003809 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002349 - 0.002364 = -1.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002364 - 0.002394 = -3.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.0E-5 / -1.5E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -0.254% | 0.4R | 9.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -0.846% | 1.3R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.369% | 3.7R | -3.680% | 5.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -4.822% | 7.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.369% | 3.7R | -4.822% | 7.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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