Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.33 XMR at 367.52$ per unit. Take profit: 369.0684 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 366.7458 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.33 XMR at 367.52$ per unit. Take profit: 369.0684 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 366.7458 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 367.52$
Qty 10.3334 XMR
Size 3797.7306$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 369.0684 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16$
SL 366.7458 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8230
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.47×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.53×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 23:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.244332 15m : 0.011527 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 06/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5499 | r1h: 0.176% · r4h: -0.078% · r1d: 1.64% · r3d: 1.93% · ema21_slope: 0.0850% · dist_ema21: 0.848% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5360 | rs_1h: 0.185% · rs_4h: -0.183% · rs_1d: 1.90% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 0.176 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1522 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -1.476 · trend: -12.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6723 | ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.528% | 2.5R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 27.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.675% | 3.2R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 35.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.094% | 5.2R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 57.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.216% | 5.8R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 64.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.216% | 5.8R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 64.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.77 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.38 | range_high | +0.56% | +0.09 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.25 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.16 | 06/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.01 | 06/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.866×ATR | p16 | +0.635×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.102×ATR | p84 | +0.732×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 4.71×ATR | p86 | +0.661×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.688×ATR | p0 | +0.459×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64350.7
-0.000587373
64313
0.244332
64473.5
-0.00249041
64313
0.011527
64144.1
0.00261637
64312
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359.92
182
0.6045
0.6027
0.2916
0.2182
0.3517
1
0.3381
0.5154
0.3652
0.1051
0.6785
0.89
0.1575
0.1235
1
1.0129
2.5714
0.4
0.6
-1
17
1
0.5637
0.612
2.9325
0.6
1.7797
3.0057
2.5714
0.1312
0.2425
0
-0.1423
0.4447
0.5918
0.874
0.89
-1.2478
10.092
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:16 | 367.52000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:22 | 367.64000000 | +0.033% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 22:50:00 | 370 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 370 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 368.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:05:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 00:25:00 | 368.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:10:00 | 370.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:40:00 | 368.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:10:00 | 368.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:35:00 | 369.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:15:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 02:30:00 | 365.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:30:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 06:30:00 | 367.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:45:00 | 365.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 10:45:00 | 359.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 366 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:15:00 | 363.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:30:00 | 369.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:15:00 | 366.96 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 05:00:00 | 361.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 366.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 18:00:00 | 363.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 351.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 02:00:00 | 357.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 350.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 363.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 10:00:00 | 359.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 370.97 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367.52 | 366.7458 | 369.0684 | 2 | 527.21 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 366.7458 - 367.52 = -0.77420000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 367.52 - 369.0684 = -1.5484
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5484 / -0.77420000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3797.7306 | 100 | 10.3334 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.77420000000001 = -10.33
Taille de position USD = -10.33 x 367.52 = -3796.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.33 avec un stoploss a 366.7458
Avec un position size USD de -3796.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.33 x -0.77420000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.33 x -1.5484 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.019 % | 9.02 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367.52 | 366.7458 | 369.0684 | 2 | 527.21 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 366.7458 - 367.52 = -0.77420000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 367.52 - 369.0684 = -1.5484
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5484 / -0.77420000000001 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.528% | 2.5R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 27.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.675% | 3.2R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 35.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.094% | 5.2R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 57.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.216% | 5.8R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 64.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.216% | 5.8R | -0.019% | 0.1R | 64.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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