Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 404653.52 PUMP at 0.00235$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002394 (1.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002334 (0.85 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 404653.52 PUMP at 0.00235$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002394 (1.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002334 (0.85 %)
Position
Entry 0.002354$
Qty 404653.5154 PUMP
Size 952.5544$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002394 (+1.7%)
TP $ 16.19$
SL 0.002334 (-0.85%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6927
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 00:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.233534 15m : 0.265858 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 06/08 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5581 | r1h: -0.625% · r4h: -0.251% · r1d: 2.01% · r3d: 9.00% · ema21_slope: 0.0663% · dist_ema21: 0.276% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5671 | rs_1h: -0.561% · rs_4h: -0.296% · rs_1d: 2.30% · rs_3d: 8.15% · beta_24h: 0.602 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1650 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.526 · trend: -58.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4975 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 54.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.741% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -0.212% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -3.271% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.105% | 1.3R | -3.271% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -4.418% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -4.418% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -3.92% | +1.00 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.46 | range_high | +0.50% | +0.69 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.21 | 06/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.34 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.01 | 06/08 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 5.568×ATR | p90 | +0.652×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.145×ATR | p16 | +0.239×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.698×ATR | p0 | -0.023×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.823×ATR | p17 | -0.358×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64338.1
-0.00133876
64252
0.233534
64456.7
-0.00317685
64252
0.265858
64144.3
0.00276918
64322
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0.002356
195
0.7437
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0.2066
0.5535
0.6245
0.0505
0.0271
1
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0.3793
0.75
0.25
1
7
1
0.645
0.5185
3.2441
0.6
0.4861
1.5769
0.3793
0.5334
0.2634
0.1
-0.0801
0.3401
0.5772
0.5737
0.6245
-5.1351
8.5419
1
1
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 23:05:00 | 0.002394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:25:00 | 0.002356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 23:55:00 | 0.002396 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 00:40:00 | 0.002372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:05:00 | 0.002414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:35:00 | 0.002405 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:25:00 | 0.002358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:50:00 | 0.00242 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:25:00 | 0.002418 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:55:00 | 0.002344 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 13:45:00 | 0.002357 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 15:30:00 | 0.002282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 18:00:00 | 0.002407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:30:00 | 0.002358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:30:00 | 0.002426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 0.002356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 0.002414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 0.002358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:45:00 | 0.00242 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:45:00 | 0.002344 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.00259 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.002306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.002282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.002426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:00:00 | 0.002356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 0.00242 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002354 | 0.002334 | 0.002394 | 2 | 0.003684 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002334 - 0.002354 = -2.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002354 - 0.002394 = -4.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.0E-5 / -2.0E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 952.5544 | 100 | 404653.5154 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.0E-5 = -400000
Taille de position USD = -400000 x 0.002354 = -941.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -400000 avec un stoploss a 0.002334
Avec un position size USD de -941.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -400000 x -2.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -400000 x -4.0E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.7 % | 16.19 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.09 $ | -0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6992 % | 200 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002354 | 0.002334 | 0.002394 | 2 | 0.003684 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002334 - 0.002354 = -2.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002354 - 0.002394 = -4.0E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.0E-5 / -2.0E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -0.212% | 0.3R | 5.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -3.271% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.105% | 1.3R | -3.271% | 3.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -4.418% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.105% | 1.3R | -4.418% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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