Short Trade on BNB (BosPullback)
With 2.31 BNB at 591.08$ per unit. Take profit: 582.4315 (1.46 %) & Stop Loss: 594.5394 (0.59 %)
Short Trade on BNB (BosPullback)
With 2.31 BNB at 591.08$ per unit. Take profit: 582.4315 (1.46 %) & Stop Loss: 594.5394 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 591.08$
Qty 2.3125 BNB
Size 1366.8938$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 582.4315 (+1.46%)
TP $ 20$
SL 594.5394 (-0.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3674
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 00:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 06/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 06/08 23:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5071 | r1h: 0.061% · r4h: 0.265% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 0.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0208% · dist_ema21: 0.085% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5087 | rs_1h: 0.124% · rs_4h: 0.220% · rs_1d: 0.18% · rs_3d: -0.40% · beta_24h: 0.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1468 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.799 · trend: -64.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3775 | ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 68.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.726% | 1.2R | -0.020% | 0.0R | 35.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.903% | 1.5R | -0.020% | 0.0R | 44.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.020% | 0.0R | 50.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.134% | 0.2R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.387% | 0.7R | 2.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.492% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.43 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.83 | range_high | +0.50% | -0.04 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.66 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.05 | 06/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.22% | +0.03 | 06/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.959×ATR | p35 | +0.397×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.319×ATR | p6 | +0.128×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.148×ATR | p25 | +0.521×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.709×ATR | p15 | +0.341×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
594.36
148
0.3093
0.5091
0.3556
0.2138
0.4717
0.5596
0.455
0.5872
0.3682
0.0171
0.503
0.4287
-0.0181
-0.0275
0
-0.9017
-1.4111
0.55
0.45
-1
9
1
0.5724
0.3613
3.8493
0.55
0.5596
2.1541
-1.4111
0.6267
0.3232
0
-0.2743
0.3608
0.4941
0.6848
0.4287
-8.5659
6.4275
1
0
1
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[time] => 2026-08-02 12:00:00
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[label] => HL
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-03 08:00:00
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-04 10:00:00
[price] => 587.68
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-05 02:00:00
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-05 04:00:00
[price] => 597.8
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[price] => 602.83
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-05 18:00:00
[price] => 601.65
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Array
(
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[price] => 591.47
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 00:00:00
[price] => 596.72
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[price] => 591.74
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 05:00:00
[price] => 598.09
[kind] => high
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 19:00:00
[price] => 589.62
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[label] => LL
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(
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Array
(
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[price] => 596.05
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 09:45:00
[price] => 593.08
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 10:00:00
[price] => 594.63
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 11:00:00
[price] => 592.13
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 11:30:00
[price] => 594.06
[kind] => high
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Array
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[time] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[price] => 590.85
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[time] => 2026-08-06 14:30:00
[price] => 593.83
[kind] => high
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[price] => 592.09
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[time] => 2026-08-06 15:45:00
[price] => 594.1
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 16:15:00
[price] => 591.2
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 17:15:00
[price] => 593.52
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 18:00:00
[price] => 591.43
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 18:15:00
[price] => 593.22
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 19:45:00
[price] => 589.62
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 22:30:00
[price] => 592.43
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-06 23:30:00
[price] => 590.63
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-07 00:00:00
[price] => 593.44
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-07 01:45:00
[price] => 593.81
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[price] => 592.14
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-07 03:30:00
[price] => 594.36
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589.62
594.36
594.36
589.62
591.36
587.68
589.52
0.6685
598.09
593.83
595.96
0.671
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 591.08 | 594.5394 | 582.4315 | 2.5 | 735.75 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 594.5394 - 591.08 = 3.4594
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 591.08 - 582.4315 = 8.6485
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.6485 / 3.4594 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1366.8938 | 100 | 2.3125 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.4594 = 2.31
Taille de position USD = 2.31 x 591.08 = 1365.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.31 avec un stoploss a 594.5394
Avec un position size USD de 1365.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.31 x 3.4594 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.31 x 8.6485 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.46 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6294 % | 107.53 % | 28 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 591.08 | 594.5394 | 582.4315 | 2.5 | 735.75 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 594.5394 - 591.08 = 3.4594
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 591.08 - 582.4315 = 8.6485
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.6485 / 3.4594 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.726% | 1.2R | -0.020% | 0.0R | 35.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.903% | 1.5R | -0.020% | 0.0R | 44.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.020% | 0.0R | 50.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.134% | 0.2R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.387% | 0.7R | 2.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.025% | 1.8R | -0.492% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
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