Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 230.56 NEAR at 1.634$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5927 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6682 (2.12 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 230.56 NEAR at 1.634$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5927 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6682 (2.12 %)
Position
Entry 1.6335$
Qty 230.5644 NEAR
Size 376.6269$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5927 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.41$
SL 1.6682 (-2.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.18
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3019
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.68×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.63×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 02:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3186 | r1h: -0.950% · r4h: -2.160% · r1d: -5.78% · r3d: -7.94% · ema21_slope: -0.1466% · dist_ema21: -2.315% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2862 | rs_1h: -0.980% · rs_4h: -1.934% · rs_1d: -4.83% · rs_3d: -8.68% · beta_24h: 0.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3841 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.073 · trend: 1.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7248 | ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.908% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.624% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.624% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.992% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.457% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -2.124% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.479% | 1.2R | -2.124% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.89 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.58 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.12% | -0.29 | 07/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.27% | -0.21 | 07/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 5.321×ATR | p70 | -0.523×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 4.708×ATR | p70 | -0.988×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 5.17×ATR | p93 | -1.646×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.525×ATR | p56 | -1.4×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6335 | 1.6682 | 1.5927 | 1.18 | 2.4765 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6682 - 1.6335 = 0.0347
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6335 - 1.5927 = 0.0408
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0408 / 0.0347 = 1.1758
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 376.6269 | 100 | 230.5644 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0347 = 230.55
Taille de position USD = 230.55 x 1.6335 = 376.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 230.55 avec un stoploss a 1.6682
Avec un position size USD de 376.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 230.55 x 0.0347 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 230.55 x 0.0408 = 9.41
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.41$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.41 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.68 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6244 % | 29.39 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6335 | 1.6682 | 1.5927 | 1.18 | 2.4765 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6682 - 1.6335 = 0.0347
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6335 - 1.5927 = 0.0408
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0408 / 0.0347 = 1.1758
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.624% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.624% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.992% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.457% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.239% | 0.1R | -2.124% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.479% | 1.2R | -2.124% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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