Short Trade on kSHIB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 94018.1 kSHIB at 0.0046$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004481 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004681 (1.85 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 02:10:09
hyperliquid
kSHIB
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 02:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.004596$
Qty 94018.0985 kSHIB
Size 432.1072$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004481 (+2.5%)
TP $ 10.81$
SL 0.004681 (-1.85%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.35
Status
loss
PnL
-0.52%
/ -2.26$
MAE -0.94%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
07 Aug 02:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=32 <= threshold=38/48
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61263)
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 02:00
score du 07/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3071
Quality Score
0.467
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 02:00
07/08 02:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#32 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.58×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.37×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 02:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 02:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4670
Score SMA
0.4800
Rank
#32
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3071
Rank Norm SMA
0.3763
Calculé le
07/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3335 | r1h: 0.044% · r4h: -1.692% · r1d: -5.13% · r3d: -7.63% · ema21_slope: -0.1371% · dist_ema21: -2.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3482 | rs_1h: 0.014% · rs_4h: -1.466% · rs_1d: -4.17% · rs_3d: -8.37% · beta_24h: 1.319 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2189 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.302 · trend: -24.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9077 | ADX: 54.8 (trend) · Chop: 44.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.798% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -1.849%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.566% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.718% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.936% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.871% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.566% | 0.3R | -1.871% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -3.92% | +0.86 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.21% | -0.72 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.27 | range_low | +0.12% | -0.24 | 07/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.27% | -0.16 | 07/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.577×ATR | p61 | -0.287×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 5.569×ATR | p89 | -1.67×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.303×ATR | p66 | -1.661×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.425×ATR | p0 | -0.914×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00468109
- tp_price: 0.0044811
- atr: 3.404E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-07T12:10:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 48
- score: 0.3335
- delta_2h: -0.0728
- extension_atr: -2.46
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3071
- confidence: 0.894
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004596 | 0.004681 | 0.004481 | 1.35 | 0.005098 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004596
- Stop Loss: 0.004681
- Take Profit: 0.004481
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004681 - 0.004596 = 8.5E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004596 - 0.004481 = 0.000115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000115 / 8.5E-5 = 1.3529
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 432.1072 | 100 | 94018.0985 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 8.5E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 8.5E-5 = 94117.65
Taille de position USD = 94117.65 x 0.004596 = 432.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 94117.65 avec un stoploss a 0.004681
Avec un position size USD de 432.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 94117.65 x 8.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 94117.65 x 0.000115 = 10.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position 94117.65
- Taille de position USD 432.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.3529
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 10.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.85 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.26 $ | -0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5222 % | 28.24 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004596 | 0.004681 | 0.004481 | 1.35 | 0.005098 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004596
- Stop Loss: 0.004681
- Take Profit: 0.004481
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004681 - 0.004596 = 8.5E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004596 - 0.004481 = 0.000115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000115 / 8.5E-5 = 1.3529
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -1.849%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.566% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.718% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.936% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.871% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.566% | 0.3R | -1.871% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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