Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 13549.68 XPL at 0.078$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07921 (1.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07744 (0.76 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 13549.68 XPL at 0.078$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07921 (1.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07744 (0.76 %)
Position
Entry 0.07803$
Qty 13549.6765 XPL
Size 1057.2542$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07921 (+1.51%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 0.07744 (-0.76%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7707
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 03:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.299023 15m : 0.299318 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 07/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 03:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7159 | r1h: 0.593% · r4h: 3.463% · r1d: 7.49% · r3d: 2.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1772% · dist_ema21: 4.020% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7072 | rs_1h: 0.551% · rs_4h: 3.510% · rs_1d: 8.25% · rs_3d: 0.96% · beta_24h: 1.347 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4119 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.060 · trend: 26.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6996 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.392% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -0.733% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -1.130% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.170% | 0.2R | -2.991% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -3.975% | 5.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -4.195% | 5.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 31% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -3.92% | -0.29 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.40 | range_high | +0.41% | +0.07 | 07/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.53 | range_low | +0.21% | +0.65 | 07/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.07% | +0.29 | 07/08 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 6.317×ATR | p85 | +0.408×ATR | p32 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.652×ATR | p68 | +1.352×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.131×ATR | p88 | +1.36×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.737×ATR | p17 | +0.174×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64292.8
0.00115273
64367
0.299023
64453.4
-0.00134089
64367
0.299318
64084.9
0.00421445
64355
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1225440474849
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.0277584042405
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 28
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.39210489608
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[1] => 0.073848
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[1] => 0.075901
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1187873323566
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1396433329917
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
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[1] => 0.079565
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0.079857
198
0.7706
0.6868
0.342
0.2487
0.4183
1
0.2329
0.6134
0.7198
0.7541
0.6545
0.7859
0.191
0.0765
1
1.5062
1.8063
0.6
0.4
1
1
0.9474
0.5551
0.5679
4.6567
0.7
2.7768
4.739
1.8063
0
0.2992
0.88
0.0392
0.4851
0.5507
0.7732
0.7859
-1.5155
5.5634
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:39 | 0.07802800 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 03:57 | 0.07778900 | -0.309% |
| 3 | 04:04 | 0.07767800 | -0.451% |
| 4 | 04:10 | 0.07769100 | -0.434% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 0.076798 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:25:00 | 0.07636 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:50:00 | 0.076787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:15:00 | 0.076398 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:30:00 | 0.077482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:55:00 | 0.076384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 04:35:00 | 0.076444 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:10:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 06:55:00 | 0.079565 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:35:00 | 0.077886 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 14:45:00 | 0.075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 0.073848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:45:00 | 0.075901 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:45:00 | 0.074241 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 0.07657 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:45:00 | 0.07472 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 03:30:00 | 0.077482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 03:45:00 | 0.076384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:30:00 | 0.078056 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 0.076282 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 0.078269 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 14:00:00 | 0.076177 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:00:00 | 0.079029 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 0.077722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 05:00:00 | 0.079925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.076298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07803 | 0.07744 | 0.07921 | 2 | 0.08539 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07744 - 0.07803 = -0.00059000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07803 - 0.07921 = -0.00118
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00118 / -0.00059000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1057.2542 | 100 | 13549.6765 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00059000000000001 = -13559.32
Taille de position USD = -13559.32 x 0.07803 = -1058.03
Donc, tu peux acheter -13559.32 avec un stoploss a 0.07744
Avec un position size USD de -1058.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13559.32 x -0.00059000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13559.32 x -0.00118 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.51 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0227 % | 135.26 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07803 | 0.07744 | 0.07921 | 2 | 0.08539 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07744 - 0.07803 = -0.00059000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07803 - 0.07921 = -0.00118
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00118 / -0.00059000000000001 = 2
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(
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[result] => loss
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -0.733% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -1.130% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.170% | 0.2R | -2.991% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -3.975% | 5.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.170% | 0.2R | -4.195% | 5.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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