Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 30.29 HYPE at 55.855$ per unit. Take profit: 56.3832 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 55.5909 (0.47 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 30.29 HYPE at 55.855$ per unit. Take profit: 56.3832 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 55.5909 (0.47 %)
Position
Entry 55.855$
Qty 30.2925 HYPE
Size 1691.9857$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 56.3832 (+0.95%)
TP $ 16$
SL 55.5909 (-0.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7014
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.62×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.238442 15m : 0.41796 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 09:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5222 | r1h: -0.065% · r4h: -0.027% · r1d: 2.56% · r3d: 2.37% · ema21_slope: 0.0234% · dist_ema21: 0.687% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4951 | rs_1h: -0.081% · rs_4h: -0.750% · rs_1d: 1.23% · rs_3d: -0.16% · beta_24h: 1.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6208 | rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.783 · trend: 30.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6114 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.815% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -0.589% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -0.716% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.634% | 1.3R | -4.290% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -4.290% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -4.290% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.55 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.58 | bull_high | +1.90% | +0.07 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.56% | -0.03 | 07/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_low_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | — | bull_low | +1.00% | -0.03 | 07/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.372×ATR | p76 | +0.453×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.94×ATR | p0 | +0.371×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.484×ATR | p77 | +0.516×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.232×ATR | p0 | +0.342×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64828.9
0.0027153
65005
0.238442
64568.6
0.00675843
65005
0.41796
64178
0.0169215
65264
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55
191
0.6026
0.4992
0.2801
0.1988
0.3467
0.7989
0.494
0.4679
0.3888
0.1204
0.3983
0.7861
0.1528
0.0674
1
0.8543
1.1891
0.55
0.45
-1
24
1
0.6024
0.2761
6.9032
0.5
0.7989
2.7757
1.1891
0.771
0.3262
0.14
-0.2454
0.393
0.5518
0
0.7861
-3.2407
11.9105
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:04 | 55.85500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:09 | 55.79000000 | -0.116% |
| 3 | 10:15 | 55.77200000 | -0.149% |
| 4 | 11:04 | 55.59600000 | -0.464% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 07:05:00 | 55.692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 07:55:00 | 55.513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 08:40:00 | 56.413 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:25:00 | 56.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 56.888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 56.628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:55:00 | 57.002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:00:00 | 56.445 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:20:00 | 56.842 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 55.829 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 16:00:00 | 55.283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 56.533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 18:30:00 | 55.911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 21:15:00 | 55.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 22:30:00 | 56.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 00:30:00 | 55.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:45:00 | 55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 55.723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:45:00 | 57.002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 55.829 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 53.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 55.792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 54.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 08:00:00 | 57.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 56.517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 17:00:00 | 57.961 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 54.614 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 56.533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:00:00 | 57.002 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.855 | 55.5909 | 56.3832 | 2 | 86.284 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.5909 - 55.855 = -0.2641
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.855 - 56.3832 = -0.52820000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.52820000000001 / -0.2641 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1691.9857 | 100 | 30.2925 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2641 = -30.29
Taille de position USD = -30.29 x 55.855 = -1691.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -30.29 avec un stoploss a 55.5909
Avec un position size USD de -1691.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -30.29 x -0.2641 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -30.29 x -0.52820000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.589 % | 124.58 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.855 | 55.5909 | 56.3832 | 2 | 86.284 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.5909 - 55.855 = -0.2641
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.855 - 56.3832 = -0.52820000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.52820000000001 / -0.2641 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -0.589% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -0.716% | 1.5R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.634% | 1.3R | -4.290% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -4.290% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.634% | 1.3R | -4.290% | 9.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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