Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.042 BTC at 64788$ per unit. Take profit: 65165.2403 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 64599.3799 (0.29 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.042 BTC at 64788$ per unit. Take profit: 65165.2403 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 64599.3799 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 64788$
Qty 0.04241 BTC
Size 2747.8722$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 65165.2403 (+0.58%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64599.3799 (-0.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5955
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.81×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5452 | r1h: 0.015% · r4h: 0.724% · r1d: 1.33% · r3d: 2.53% · ema21_slope: 0.0234% · dist_ema21: 0.944% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5393 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 0.368 · trend: 62.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6931 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.367% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.065% | 0.2R | 10.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.065% | 0.2R | 10.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_low_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 1.177×ATR | p0 | +0.652×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 5.737×ATR | p94 | +1.279×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 4.704×ATR | p89 | +1.703×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.587×ATR | p48 | -0.629×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 64137
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.78952200257054
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0960911798182
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9006189874799
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[1] => 64505
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64171
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[3] => Array
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[1] => 64227
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[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.86908623538772
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.015437339837599
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.89227824261323
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[2] => Array
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[1] => 64764
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8011979375714
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65356
197
0.7362
0.608
0.3348
0.2011
0.4442
1
0.1996
0.6096
0.6926
0.6404
0.4844
0.8328
0.1645
0.0826
1
0.7116
1.3042
0.65
0.35
1
2
1
0.5977
0.5178
5.0778
0.5
3.1995
5.8262
1.3042
0
0.342
0.74
-0.0054
0.4295
0.4716
0.042
0.8328
-1.9829
9.8761
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:06 | 64788.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:12 | 64811.00000000 | +0.036% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 08:00:00 | 64270 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:35:00 | 64925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:25:00 | 64764 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 10:30:00 | 64878 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 65183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 64964 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 64936 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:55:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:45:00 | 65297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:05:00 | 64778 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 19:30:00 | 64318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 64505 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:45:00 | 64171 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64227 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 64444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 64925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 64778 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64788 | 64599.3799 | 65165.2403 | 2 | 79048 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64599.3799 - 64788 = -188.6201
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64788 - 65165.2403 = -377.2403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -377.2403 / -188.6201 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2747.8722 | 100 | 0.04241 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -188.6201 = -0.04
Taille de position USD = -0.04 x 64788 = -2591.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.04 avec un stoploss a 64599.3799
Avec un position size USD de -2591.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.04 x -188.6201 = 7.54
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.54$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.04 x -377.2403 = 15.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.09$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0648 % | 22.26 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64788 | 64599.3799 | 65165.2403 | 2 | 79048 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64599.3799 - 64788 = -188.6201
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64788 - 65165.2403 = -377.2403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -377.2403 / -188.6201 = 2
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[6.5] => Array
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[result] => loss
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.065% | 0.2R | 10.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.065% | 0.2R | 10.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.693% | 2.4R | -0.469% | 1.6R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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