Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 103.12 LTC at 45.633$ per unit. Take profit: 45.7882 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 45.5554 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 103.12 LTC at 45.633$ per unit. Take profit: 45.7882 (0.34 %) & Stop Loss: 45.5554 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 45.633$
Qty 103.1197 LTC
Size 4705.6634$ (margin 100$) (leverage 47)
Risk Setup
TP 45.7882 (+0.34%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.5554 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5495
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.45689 15m : 0.589581 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 07/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5417 | r1h: 0.063% · r4h: 0.186% · r1d: 0.75% · r3d: 3.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0337% · dist_ema21: 0.502% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4933 | rs_1h: 0.048% · rs_4h: -0.538% · rs_1d: -0.59% · rs_3d: 1.19% · beta_24h: 0.349 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2564 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.282 · trend: -35.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5625 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.417% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.340% | 2.0R | -0.094% | 0.6R | 3.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.916% | 5.4R | -0.094% | 0.6R | 9.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.916% | 5.4R | -0.458% | 2.7R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.916% | 5.4R | -1.915% | 11.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.916% | 5.4R | -1.915% | 11.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.30 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -2.3ATR | 0.67 | bull_high | +1.90% | +0.08 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.56% | -0.07 | 07/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | — | bull_low | +1.00% | -0.10 | 07/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.921×ATR | p0 | +0.441×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 25b | — | 4.305×ATR | p71 | +0.699×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.656×ATR | p56 | +0.616×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.439×ATR | p0 | +0.513×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64832.3
-0.000684514
64788
0.45689
64564.3
0.00346445
64788
0.589581
64160.5
0.0105901
64840
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45.97
197
0.7647
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0.1783
0.5205
0.8253
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0.0831
1
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1.4333
0.8
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1
2
1
0.5748
0.3658
3.3563
0.5
1.718
3.4943
1.4333
0.0937
0.3823
0.2
-0.2126
0.3979
0.4233
0.8058
0.8253
-1.9083
9.0153
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:07 | 45.63300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:13 | 45.60300000 | -0.066% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 09:35:00 | 45.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:00:00 | 45.719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 10:15:00 | 45.837 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:55:00 | 45.687 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:25:00 | 45.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 45.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:40:00 | 45.831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:05:00 | 45.616 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:45:00 | 45.352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 21:30:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 45.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 45.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 45.616 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 44.702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 44.709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 45.618 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.633 | 45.5554 | 45.7882 | 2 | 54.126 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.5554 - 45.633 = -0.077600000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.633 - 45.7882 = -0.1552
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1552 / -0.077600000000004 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4705.6634 | 100 | 103.1197 | 47.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.077600000000004 = -103.09
Taille de position USD = -103.09 x 45.633 = -4704.31
Donc, tu peux acheter -103.09 avec un stoploss a 45.5554
Avec un position size USD de -4704.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -103.09 x -0.077600000000004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -103.09 x -0.1552 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0942 % | 55.38 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.633 | 45.5554 | 45.7882 | 2 | 54.126 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.5554 - 45.633 = -0.077600000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.633 - 45.7882 = -0.1552
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1552 / -0.077600000000004 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.340% | 2.0R | -0.094% | 0.6R | 3.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.916% | 5.4R | -0.094% | 0.6R | 9.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.916% | 5.4R | -0.458% | 2.7R | 2.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.916% | 5.4R | -1.915% | 11.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.916% | 5.4R | -1.915% | 11.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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