Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.08 ETH at 1911.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1926.0404 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 1903.7798 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.08 ETH at 1911.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1926.0404 (0.78 %) & Stop Loss: 1903.7798 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 1911.2$
Qty 1.0781 ETH
Size 2060.5373$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 1926.0404 (+0.78%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1903.7798 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7013
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.17×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.81×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 07/08 10:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.835581 15m : 0.820033 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 07/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5650 | r1h: 0.031% · r4h: 1.015% · r1d: 1.30% · r3d: 3.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0228% · dist_ema21: 1.111% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5170 | rs_1h: 0.016% · rs_4h: 0.291% · rs_1d: -0.04% · rs_3d: 1.29% · beta_24h: 0.992 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5518 | rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 0.658 · trend: 68.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6687 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.477% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.084% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.084% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -2.70% | +0.32 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.90% | +0.11 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.87 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.56% | -0.01 | 07/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.78 | range_low | +0.52% | +0.02 | 07/08 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 42b | — | 7.065×ATR | p87 | +0.642×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 5.019×ATR | p85 | +1.092×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 0.847×ATR | p0 | +1.71×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.416×ATR | p41 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64832.3
-0.000684514
64788
0.835581
64564.3
0.00346445
64788
0.820033
64160.5
0.0105901
64840
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 01:00:00
[1] => 1860.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 1862.3
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 1854.7
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 18:00:00
[1] => 1927
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 1893.7
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:00:00
[1] => 1918.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 1892
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 1918.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:00:00
[1] => 1893.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 1939.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3354645766732
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0562450488513
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4240823871138
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 18:45:00
[1] => 1903.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 23:30:00
[1] => 1897.4
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 1897.1
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:15:00
[1] => 1907.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:45:00
[1] => 1893.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 06:15:00
[1] => 1906.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 08:00:00
[1] => 1901.1
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:30:00
[1] => 1916.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:30:00
[1] => 1939.4
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:00:00
[1] => 1910.1
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4540579560689
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.057588607926294
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5339511020366
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:40:00
[1] => 1916.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 10:00:00
[1] => 1911.6
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 10:40:00
[1] => 1911.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 11:20:00
[1] => 1919.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 11:50:00
[1] => 1913.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:30:00
[1] => 1939.4
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:35:00
[1] => 1921.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 13:25:00
[1] => 1924
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 13:40:00
[1] => 1934
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:05:00
[1] => 1910.1
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1789038262668
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.057588607926294
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2512433903984
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
1939.4
197
0.7339
0.6638
0.3353
0.2022
0.4442
1
0.2432
0.5956
0.6989
0.4821
0.4836
0.7683
0.1135
0.0718
1
0.3293
1.0848
0.65
0.35
1
2
1
0.5955
0.5639
5.0201
0.6
1.8071
5.417
1.0848
0.1469
0.3579
0.5
-0.0268
0.421
0.4302
0.0219
0.7683
-2.5696
8.5225
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:06 | 1911.20000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:12 | 1911.00000000 | -0.01% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 09:40:00 | 1916.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:00:00 | 1911.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 10:40:00 | 1911.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 1919.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 1913.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:35:00 | 1921.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 1924 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:40:00 | 1934 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:05:00 | 1910.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 18:45:00 | 1903.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 23:30:00 | 1897.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 1897.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 1907.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:00:00 | 1901.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 1916.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 1910.1 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1860.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 1893.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 1918.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 1892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 1918.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1911.2 | 1903.7798 | 1926.0404 | 2 | 2483.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1903.7798 - 1911.2 = -7.4202
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1911.2 - 1926.0404 = -14.8404
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -14.8404 / -7.4202 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2060.5373 | 100 | 1.0781 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -7.4202 = -1.08
Taille de position USD = -1.08 x 1911.2 = -2064.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.08 avec un stoploss a 1903.7798
Avec un position size USD de -2064.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.08 x -7.4202 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.08 x -14.8404 = 16.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.78 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3453 % | 88.95 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1911.2 | 1903.7798 | 1926.0404 | 2 | 2483.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1903.7798 - 1911.2 = -7.4202
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1911.2 - 1926.0404 = -14.8404
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -14.8404 / -7.4202 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.084% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.084% | 0.2R | 8.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.738% | 1.9R | -0.345% | 0.9R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.