Short Trade on ADA (BosPullback)
With 2226.09 ADA at 0.2$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1915 (4.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2041 (1.8 %)
Short Trade on ADA (BosPullback)
With 2226.09 ADA at 0.2$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1915 (4.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2041 (1.8 %)
Position
Entry 0.2005$
Qty 2226.0932 ADA
Size 446.3317$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1915 (+4.49%)
TP $ 20.03$
SL 0.2041 (-1.8%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4953
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 5.33×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.45×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 07/08 12:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 07/08 11:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5244 | r1h: 1.214% · r4h: -0.984% · r1d: -4.52% · r3d: 3.26% · ema21_slope: 0.0388% · dist_ema21: -0.302% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4779 | rs_1h: 1.120% · rs_4h: -0.975% · rs_1d: -5.12% · rs_3d: 1.86% · beta_24h: 0.911 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2211 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.385 · trend: -24.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5188 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 63.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.329% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.723% | 0.4R | -0.514% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -0.514% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.486% | 0.8R | -0.953% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -1.327% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -1.327% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -1.327% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.80 | bear_high | -2.70% | +0.95 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +1.32% | -0.02 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.39 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.09% | -0.23 | 07/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | -0.15 | 07/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.534×ATR | p70 | +1.169×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.404×ATR | p25 | -0.111×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.721×ATR | p15 | -0.301×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 0.386×ATR | p3 | +0.427×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.19651
147
0.5757
0.5251
0.2984
0.2303
0.3542
1
0.4562
0.4684
0.3796
0.3
0.4985
0.6358
-0.0214
0.0368
1
0.1769
1.176
0.5
0.5
-1
2
1
0.5394
0.3589
4.2772
0.55
1.3981
2.4498
1.176
0.7146
0.2698
0.5
-0.4149
0.4097
0.4922
0.5277
0.6358
-4.525
7.9001
1
0
0
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0.19651
0.20385
0.20385
0.19651
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:07 | 0.20050000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:20 | 0.20052000 | +0.01% |
| 3 | 12:26 | 0.20052000 | +0.01% |
| 4 | 12:38 | 0.20038000 | -0.06% |
| 5 | 12:43 | 0.20038000 | -0.06% |
| 6 | 12:50 | 0.19996000 | -0.269% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2005 | 0.2041 | 0.1915 | 2.5 | 0.2268 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2041 - 0.2005 = 0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2005 - 0.1915 = 0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0036 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 446.3317 | 100 | 2226.0932 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0036 = 2222.22
Taille de position USD = 2222.22 x 0.2005 = 445.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 2222.22 avec un stoploss a 0.2041
Avec un position size USD de 445.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2222.22 x 0.0036 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2222.22 x 0.009 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.49 % | 20.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.8 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.03 $ | 4.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3267 % | 73.89 % | 42 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2005 | 0.2041 | 0.1915 | 2.5 | 0.2268 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2041 - 0.2005 = 0.0036
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2005 - 0.1915 = 0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0036 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.723% | 0.4R | -0.514% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -0.514% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.486% | 0.8R | -0.953% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -1.327% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -1.327% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.486% | 0.8R | -1.327% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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