Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 642.95 ETHFI at 0.383$ per unit. Take profit: 0.393 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.371 (3.23 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 642.95 ETHFI at 0.383$ per unit. Take profit: 0.393 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.371 (3.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.3834$
Qty 642.9514 ETHFI
Size 246.514$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.393 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.17$
SL 0.371 (-3.23%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.77
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7226
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.71×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6802 | r1h: 1.779% · r4h: 0.744% · r1d: 7.01% · r3d: 5.99% · ema21_slope: 0.2402% · dist_ema21: 3.649% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7043 | rs_1h: 1.685% · rs_4h: 0.753% · rs_1d: 6.41% · rs_3d: 4.59% · beta_24h: 1.633 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4920 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.183 · trend: 72.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7236 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 29.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.2R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.690% | 0.5R | -1.103% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -1.103% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -1.122% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.92 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.32% | -0.47 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.09% | +0.67 | 07/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | +0.43 | 07/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.437×ATR | p24 | -0.085×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.085×ATR | p55 | +1.185×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.856×ATR | p2 | +1.312×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.075×ATR | p25 | +0.475×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3834 | 0.371 | 0.393 | 0.77 | 0.6077 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.371 - 0.3834 = -0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3834 - 0.393 = -0.0096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0124 = 0.7742
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246.514 | 100 | 642.9514 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0124 = -645.16
Taille de position USD = -645.16 x 0.3834 = -247.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -645.16 avec un stoploss a 0.371
Avec un position size USD de -247.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -645.16 x -0.0124 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -645.16 x -0.0096 = 6.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.19$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.23 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.43 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1033 % | 34.11 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3834 | 0.371 | 0.393 | 0.77 | 0.6077 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.371 - 0.3834 = -0.0124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3834 - 0.393 = -0.0096
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0124 = 0.7742
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.2R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -0.887% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.690% | 0.5R | -1.103% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -1.103% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.690% | 0.5R | -1.122% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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