Long Trade on LTC

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07 Aug 2026 at 12:12:51 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 15.57 LTC at 46.035$ per unit. Take profit: 47.3199 (2.79 %) & Stop Loss: 45.521 (1.12 %)

LTC LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 12:12 → 13:40 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 46.035$

Qty 15.5656 LTC

Size 716.5637$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)

Risk Setup

TP 47.3199 (+2.79%)

TP $ 20$

SL 45.521 (-1.12%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.12% / -8$ MAE -2.77% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 08 Aug 00:12

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61707)

#3 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6306

Quality Score

0.652

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

75 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 12:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#3 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

75 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.12 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#3 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

75 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.12 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.19×ATR
4h	near	-1.85×ATR
1d	clear	9.30×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 12:00 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

07/08 12:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 07/08 11:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

07/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1)

07/08 11:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)

range compression range_breakout_attempt

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bull	expansion	—	+1
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	+1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.45

Snapshot évalué : 07/08 12:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.6516

Score SMA

0.5276

Rank

#3 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6306

Rank Norm SMA

0.6519

Calculé le

07/08/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5627	r1h: 0.719% · r4h: 0.569% · r1d: 0.59% · r3d: 3.68% · ema21_slope: 0.0364% · dist_ema21: 0.780%
Force Relative	25%	0.5569	rs_1h: 0.625% · rs_4h: 0.578% · rs_1d: -0.02% · rs_3d: 2.28% · beta_24h: 0.559
Volume	20%	0.7653	rvol_20: 4.31× · zscore_50: 0.642 · trend: 41.87%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6033	ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.456% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.117% (0.5140)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.665%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.327%	1.2R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	288

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 33%	early	—	—	0.75	bear_high	-2.70%	-0.30	06/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	near -1.9ATR	0.67	bull_high	+1.32%	+0.10	07/08 08:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_medium_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	near -0.2ATR	0.59	bull_low_confirmed	+1.09%	+0.04	07/08 11:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_low_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	—	range_low	+0.49%	+0.04	07/08 11:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	12b	—	1.921×ATR	p0	+0.441×ATR	p52
4h	↑ up	mid	25b	—	3.874×ATR	p71	+0.388×ATR	p39
1h	↓ down	late	3b	—	0×ATR	p0	+1.169×ATR	p88
15m	↑ up	late	2b	—	3.208×ATR	p53	+1.387×ATR	p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.7535
reason: up_bo width=2.17×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
stop_price: 45.5210471
tp_price: 47.31988224
atr:
score: 0.75353840642495
expires_at: 2026-08-08T04:12:43.292508
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.75353840642495

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0616
obi_top10 : -0.031
micro_price : 45.96979031
spread_pct : 0.021758
mid_price : 45.965
bid_wall_price : 45.8
bid_wall_size : 17591.68
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 46.1
ask_wall_size : 21556.02
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0547
obi_top5_std : 0.0063
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7087
aggregation_tick : 0.1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
45.7605
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
45.322
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
45.54125
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1786035600
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1786118400
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.1705
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
24
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: forming
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.7535
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1786114800
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
45.7605
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8333
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
1.3587
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
0
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
6
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
4
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.20202898

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8333

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

1.3587

Signaux confirmants (11)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	12:12	46.03500000	0%
2	12:18	46.01400000	-0.046%
3	12:24	46.01400000	-0.046%
4	12:31	46.01400000	-0.046%
5	12:36	45.95900000	-0.165%
6	12:42	45.95900000	-0.165%
7	12:48	45.93100000	-0.226%
8	12:54	45.93100000	-0.226%
9	13:01	45.93100000	-0.226%
10	13:07	45.77600000	-0.563%
11	13:13	45.77600000	-0.563%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7087ms Confidence avant OB : 75% → 75%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.062

avg -0.055 ± 0.006

OBI Top 10 -0.031

Microstructure

Mid Price

45.9650

Micro Price

45.9698

Spread

0.0218%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

45.8000

Size

17,591.68

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

46.1000

Size

21,556.02

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
46.035	45.521	47.3199	2.5	54.856

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 46.035
Stop Loss: 45.521
Take Profit: 47.3199

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 45.521 - 46.035 = -0.514
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 46.035 - 47.3199 = -1.2849
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2849 / -0.514 = 2.4998

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
716.5637	100	15.5656	7.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.514

Taille de position = 8 / -0.514 = -15.56

Taille de position USD = -15.56 x 46.035 = -716.3

Donc, tu peux acheter -15.56 avec un stoploss a 45.521

Avec un position size USD de -716.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -15.56 x -0.514 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -15.56 x -1.2849 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position -15.56
Taille de position USD -716.3
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.79 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.12 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-1.12

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.2643 %	113.24 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
46.035	45.521	47.3199	2.5	54.856

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 46.035
Stop Loss: 45.521
Take Profit: 47.3199

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 45.521 - 46.035 = -0.514
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 46.035 - 47.3199 = -1.2849
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2849 / -0.514 = 2.4998

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.3199
            [entry_price] => 46.035
            [stop_loss] => 45.4696
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 17:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.3199
            [entry_price] => 46.035
            [stop_loss] => 45.4182
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 18:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.3199
            [entry_price] => 46.035
            [stop_loss] => 45.3668
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.3199
            [entry_price] => 46.035
            [stop_loss] => 45.264
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.117% (0.5140)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-0.665%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.327%	1.2R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	96
12h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.772%	2.5R	0.0×	288

computed 4 weeks ago

Commentaires

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