Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 222.8 NEAR at 1.612$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5718 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.648 (2.23 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 222.8 NEAR at 1.612$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5718 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.648 (2.23 %)
Position
Entry 1.6121$
Qty 222.7951 NEAR
Size 359.1679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5718 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.98$
SL 1.648 (-2.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.12
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5371
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.35×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 07/08 12:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3455 | r1h: -0.393% · r4h: -1.698% · r1d: -3.15% · r3d: -6.54% · ema21_slope: -0.1056% · dist_ema21: -1.739% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3315 | rs_1h: -0.487% · rs_4h: -1.689% · rs_1d: -3.75% · rs_3d: -7.94% · beta_24h: 0.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9884 | rvol_20: 3.12× · zscore_50: 3.634 · trend: 91.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7228 | ADX: 36.7 (trend) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.067% | 0.5R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.185% | 0.5R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.600% | 0.7R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.991% | 0.9R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.991% | 0.9R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.92 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.32% | -0.74 | 07/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.09% | -0.30 | 07/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | -0.27 | 07/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 5.207×ATR | p65 | -0.561×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 5.229×ATR | p75 | -1.27×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.196×ATR | p75 | -1.139×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.836×ATR | p64 | -1.019×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6121 | 1.648 | 1.5718 | 1.12 | 2.4206 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.648 - 1.6121 = 0.0359
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6121 - 1.5718 = 0.0403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0403 / 0.0359 = 1.1226
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359.1679 | 100 | 222.7951 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0359 = 222.84
Taille de position USD = 222.84 x 1.6121 = 359.24
Donc, tu peux acheter 222.84 avec un stoploss a 1.648
Avec un position size USD de 359.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 222.84 x 0.0359 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 222.84 x 0.0403 = 8.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.4 $ | 0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3288 % | 14.76 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6121 | 1.648 | 1.5718 | 1.12 | 2.4206 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.648 - 1.6121 = 0.0359
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6121 - 1.5718 = 0.0403
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0403 / 0.0359 = 1.1226
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.067% | 0.5R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.185% | 0.5R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.600% | 0.7R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.991% | 0.9R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.991% | 0.9R | -0.329% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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