07 Aug 2026 at 12:10:03 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 222.8 NEAR at 1.612$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5718 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.648 (2.23 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 12:10 → 12:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 1.6121$

Qty 222.7951 NEAR

Size 359.1679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 1.5718 (+2.5%)

TP $ 8.98$

SL 1.648 (-2.23%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.12

Status win PnL +0.11% / +0.4$ MAE -0.33% MFE +1.60% 0.7R expires 07 Aug 12:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=6 <= threshold=34/44

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61723)
#6 / 44 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5371

Quality Score
0.593
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 12:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 44 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.23 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 44 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.23 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.35×ATR
4h near -0.12×ATR
1d near 0.23×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

07/08 12:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

07/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

07/08 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakout_attempt
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bull expansion -1
Tactical bull expansion -1
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.50
Transition risk : 0.50
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.45
Snapshot évalué : 07/08 12:00 · env range_with_momentum

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5926
Score SMA
0.4962
Rank
#6 / 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5371
Rank Norm SMA
0.4382
Calculé le
07/08/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3455 r1h: -0.393% · r4h: -1.698% · r1d: -3.15% · r3d: -6.54% · ema21_slope: -0.1056% · dist_ema21: -1.739%
Force Relative 25% 0.3315 rs_1h: -0.487% · rs_4h: -1.689% · rs_1d: -3.75% · rs_3d: -7.94% · beta_24h: 0.372
Volume 20% 0.9884 rvol_20: 3.12× · zscore_50: 3.634 · trend: 91.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7228 ADX: 36.7 (trend) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.227% (0.0359)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.067% 0.5R -0.329% 0.2R 3.2× 12
2h +1.185% 0.5R -0.329% 0.2R 3.6× 24
4h ★ +1.600% 0.7R -0.329% 0.2R 4.9× 48
8h +1.991% 0.9R -0.329% 0.2R 6.1× 96
12h +1.991% 0.9R -0.329% 0.2R 6.1× 144

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.17
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 42% mid near 0.2ATR 0.56 bear_high -2.70% -0.92 06/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% late near -0.1ATR 0.63 bull_high +1.32% -0.74 07/08 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 45% mid 0.56 bull_low_confirmed +1.09% -0.30 07/08 11:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_medium_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 47% mid range_low +0.49% -0.27 07/08 11:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 23b 5.207×ATR p65 -0.561×ATR p53
4h ↓ down late 20b 5.229×ATR p75 -1.27×ATR p90
1h ↓ down mid 5b 3.196×ATR p75 -1.139×ATR p82
15m ↓ down mid 5b 2.836×ATR p64 -1.019×ATR p74

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.64800744
  2. tp_price: 1.5717975
  3. atr: 0.01436298
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-07T22:10:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 44
  2. total: 46
  3. score: 0.3455
  4. delta_2h: -0.0374
  5. extension_atr: -2.25
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5371
  9. confidence: 0.956

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.6121 1.648 1.5718 1.12 2.4206
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.6121
  • Stop Loss: 1.648
  • Take Profit: 1.5718

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.648 - 1.6121 = 0.0359

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.6121 - 1.5718 = 0.0403

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0403 / 0.0359 = 1.1226

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
359.1679 100 222.7951 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0359

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0359 = 222.84

Taille de position USD = 222.84 x 1.6121 = 359.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 222.84 avec un stoploss a 1.648

Avec un position size USD de 359.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 222.84 x 0.0359 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 222.84 x 0.0403 = 8.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 222.84
  • Taille de position USD 359.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1226

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 8.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.4 $ 0.11
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3288 % 14.76 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.6121 1.648 1.5718 1.12 2.4206
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.6121
  • Stop Loss: 1.648
  • Take Profit: 1.5718

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.648 - 1.6121 = 0.0359

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.6121 - 1.5718 = 0.0403

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0403 / 0.0359 = 1.1226

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.227% (0.0359)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.067% 0.5R -0.329% 0.2R 3.2× 12
2h +1.185% 0.5R -0.329% 0.2R 3.6× 24
4h ★ +1.600% 0.7R -0.329% 0.2R 4.9× 48
8h +1.991% 0.9R -0.329% 0.2R 6.1× 96
12h +1.991% 0.9R -0.329% 0.2R 6.1× 144

computed 4 weeks ago

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