Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.071 BTC at 64774$ per unit. Take profit: 65000.0517 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 64660.9741 (0.17 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.071 BTC at 64774$ per unit. Take profit: 65000.0517 (0.35 %) & Stop Loss: 64660.9741 (0.17 %)
Position
Entry 64774$
Qty 0.07078 BTC
Size 4584.7204$ (margin 100$) (leverage 46)
Risk Setup
TP 65000.0517 (+0.35%)
TP $ 16$
SL 64660.9741 (-0.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7596
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 12:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5214 | r1h: 0.094% · r4h: -0.009% · r1d: 0.60% · r3d: 1.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0313% · dist_ema21: 0.467% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2873 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.682 · trend: 42.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7066 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.404% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.117% | 0.7R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.347% | 2.0R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.446% | 2.6R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.446% | 2.6R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | — | — | — | — | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | — | — | — | 07/08 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 1.177×ATR | p0 | +0.652×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 5.309×ATR | p87 | +0.631×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.658×ATR | p13 | +0.277×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.931×ATR | p59 | -0.651×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 63850
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-05 20:00:00
[1] => 64986
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[3] => Array
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[1] => 64425
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-06 08:00:00
[1] => 64967
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 64156
[2] => L
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 64945
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:00:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.65640492074178
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2317383101798
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9006189874799
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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)
Array
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[0] => 2026-08-06 20:00:00
[1] => 64505
[2] => H
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 23:45:00
[1] => 64171
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 64227
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:15:00
[1] => 64518
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 04:45:00
[1] => 64137
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 06:15:00
[1] => 64444
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:30:00
[1] => 64925
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:45:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:00:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 64773
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.89050737499235
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0015438531486885
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.041701417848207
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[0] => 2026-08-07 11:50:00
[1] => 64964
[2] => L
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:30:00
[1] => 64936
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:55:00
[1] => 65356
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 13:45:00
[1] => 65297
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:10:00
[1] => 64746
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:35:00
[1] => 65237
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:00:00
[1] => 64858
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:30:00
[1] => 65103
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 16:10:00
[1] => 65044
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 64773
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41510362216346
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0015438531486885
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.41838420329458
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
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65356
195
0.7305
0.608
0.3251
0.1897
0.4358
1
0.2171
0.602
0.6926
0.873
0.552
0.861
0.1267
0.0718
1
0.7887
1.4034
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.6206
0.5178
5.0778
0.5
3.1995
5.8262
1.4034
0
0.3774
0.86
0.2355
0.4206
0.4611
0.535
0.861
-1.5352
9.5082
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:00 | 64774.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:06 | 64741.00000000 | -0.051% |
| 3 | 13:12 | 64725.00000000 | -0.076% |
| 4 | 13:18 | 64692.00000000 | -0.127% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 64964 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 64936 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:55:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:45:00 | 65297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:10:00 | 64746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:35:00 | 65237 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 64858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 65103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:10:00 | 65044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64773 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 20:00:00 | 64505 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:45:00 | 64171 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64227 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 64444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 64925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 64746 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64773 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 63971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 63850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 20:00:00 | 64986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 64425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 64967 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 64156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 64945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64774 | 64660.9741 | 65000.0517 | 2 | 79419 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64660.9741 - 64774 = -113.0259
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64774 - 65000.0517 = -226.0517
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -226.0517 / -113.0259 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4584.7204 | 100 | 0.07078 | 46.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -113.0259 = -0.07
Taille de position USD = -0.07 x 64774 = -4534.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.07 avec un stoploss a 64660.9741
Avec un position size USD de -4534.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.07 x -113.0259 = 7.91
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.91$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.07 x -226.0517 = 15.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.82$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1899 % | 108.83 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64774 | 64660.9741 | 65000.0517 | 2 | 79419 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 64660.9741 - 64774 = -113.0259
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 64774 - 65000.0517 = -226.0517
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -226.0517 / -113.0259 = 2
Array
(
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Array
(
[1.1] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65000.0517
[entry_price] => 64774
[stop_loss] => 64649.67151
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 17:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65000.0517
[entry_price] => 64774
[stop_loss] => 64638.36892
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 17:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65000.0517
[entry_price] => 64774
[stop_loss] => 64627.06633
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 17:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65000.0517
[entry_price] => 64774
[stop_loss] => 64604.46115
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 17:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.057% | 0.3R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.117% | 0.7R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.347% | 2.0R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.446% | 2.6R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.446% | 2.6R | -0.448% | 2.6R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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