Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.64 ETH at 1909.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1918.9647 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 1904.3176 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 1.64 ETH at 1909.2$ per unit. Take profit: 1918.9647 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 1904.3176 (0.26 %)
Position
Entry 1909.2$
Qty 1.6385 ETH
Size 3128.3195$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 1918.9647 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1904.3176 (-0.26%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7681
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.81×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.848527 15m : 0.840403 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 07/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5095 | r1h: -0.125% · r4h: -0.865% · r1d: -0.04% · r3d: 2.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0325% · dist_ema21: 0.183% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4866 | rs_1h: -0.204% · rs_4h: -0.364% · rs_1d: -0.36% · rs_3d: 0.85% · beta_24h: 1.081 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2416 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.489 · trend: 4.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6822 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.522% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.257% | 1.0R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.272% | 1.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.534% | 2.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.534% | 2.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.534% | 2.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -2.70% | +0.32 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.38% | +0.09 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.87 | bull_low | +0.98% | -0.04 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.79 | range_low | +0.13% | -0.06 | 07/08 13:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 42b | — | 7.065×ATR | p87 | +0.642×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 26b | — | 4.63×ATR | p79 | +0.542×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.514×ATR | p47 | -0.038×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.395×ATR | p35 | -0.739×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64920.4
-0.00225546
64774
0.848527
64689.3
0.001308
64774
0.840403
64299.9
0.00975211
64927
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1939.4
195
0.7306
0.6638
0.319
0.1761
0.4358
1
0.2447
0.5938
0.6989
0.7621
0.5632
0.7755
0.0917
0.0639
1
0.299
0.9954
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.6478
0.5639
5.0201
0.6
1.8071
5.417
0.9954
0.1469
0.3954
0.7
0.2132
0.4178
0.4297
0.5619
0.7755
-2.3199
8.0135
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:00 | 1909.20000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:06 | 1907.70000000 | -0.079% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 12:35:00 | 1921.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 1924 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:40:00 | 1934 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 1909.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:35:00 | 1925.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:50:00 | 1911.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 1920.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:10:00 | 1924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:50:00 | 1915.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:55:00 | 1908.3 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 1897.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 1907.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:00:00 | 1901.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 1916.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 1909.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 1924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:45:00 | 1908.3 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 1860.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 1893.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 1918.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 1892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 1918.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1909.2 | 1904.3176 | 1918.9647 | 2 | 2493.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1904.3176 - 1909.2 = -4.8824
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1909.2 - 1918.9647 = -9.7646999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.7646999999999 / -4.8824 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3128.3195 | 100 | 1.6385 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -4.8824 = -1.64
Taille de position USD = -1.64 x 1909.2 = -3131.09
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.64 avec un stoploss a 1904.3176
Avec un position size USD de -3131.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.64 x -4.8824 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.64 x -9.7646999999999 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2409 % | 94.21 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1909.2 | 1904.3176 | 1918.9647 | 2 | 2493.8 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1904.3176 - 1909.2 = -4.8824
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1909.2 - 1918.9647 = -9.7646999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.7646999999999 / -4.8824 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.257% | 1.0R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.272% | 1.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.534% | 2.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.534% | 2.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.534% | 2.1R | -0.241% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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