Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 76.64 LTC at 45.436$ per unit. Take profit: 45.6448 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 45.3316 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 76.64 LTC at 45.436$ per unit. Take profit: 45.6448 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 45.3316 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 45.436$
Qty 76.6422 LTC
Size 3482.3169$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 45.6448 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16$
SL 45.3316 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6754
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.30×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.406492 15m : 0.565157 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 07/08 13:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5409 | r1h: -0.022% · r4h: 0.308% · r1d: 0.44% · r3d: 2.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0412% · dist_ema21: 0.622% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5261 | rs_1h: -0.100% · rs_4h: 0.809% · rs_1d: 0.13% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 0.449 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6716 | rvol_20: 2.46× · zscore_50: 0.245 · trend: 56.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6162 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.452% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -0.143% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 1.2R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.335% | 1.5R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.335% | 1.5R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.420% | 1.8R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.30 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bull_high | +1.04% | +0.19 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | range_low | +0.55% | -0.05 | 07/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | +0.07 | 07/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.921×ATR | p0 | +0.441×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 26b | — | 4.433×ATR | p74 | +0.588×ATR | p58 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.681×ATR | p59 | -1.048×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.307×ATR | p58 | -0.907×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64912.4
-0.00416627
64642
0.406492
64690.4
-0.000749027
64642
0.565157
64385.2
0.00417463
64654
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46.051
198
0.6699
0.6392
0.3933
0.2161
0.5383
1
0.3674
0.5327
0.7587
0.9169
0.6895
0.7063
0.0432
0.0542
0.6667
-0.7116
0.1599
0.8
0.2
1
1
1
0.5679
0.6943
3.3563
0.55
1.2132
2.1982
0.1599
0.6497
0.3741
0.98
0.1934
0.5009
0.4123
0.898
0.7063
-2.4318
5.8493
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:48 | 45.43600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:54 | 45.42400000 | -0.026% |
| 3 | 14:01 | 45.47300000 | +0.081% |
| 4 | 14:06 | 45.45100000 | +0.033% |
| 5 | 14:12 | 45.47900000 | +0.095% |
| 6 | 14:18 | 45.48500000 | +0.108% |
| 7 | 14:24 | 45.44000000 | +0.009% |
| 8 | 14:31 | 45.41800000 | -0.04% |
| 9 | 14:36 | 45.42300000 | -0.029% |
| 10 | 14:42 | 45.38300000 | -0.117% |
| 11 | 14:48 | 45.37700000 | -0.13% |
| 12 | 14:54 | 45.39400000 | -0.092% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 45.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:40:00 | 45.831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:10:00 | 45.595 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:35:00 | 45.788 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 45.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 46.039 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:05:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:45:00 | 45.435 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 21:30:00 | 45.648 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 23:15:00 | 45.332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 45.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 45.675 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 45.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:00:00 | 45.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:45:00 | 45.435 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 04:00:00 | 44.702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 10:00:00 | 44.709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 45.426 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 44.869 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 11:00:00 | 44.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 17:00:00 | 45.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 45.695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 45.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 45.453 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.436 | 45.3316 | 45.6448 | 2 | 50.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.3316 - 45.436 = -0.1044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.436 - 45.6448 = -0.2088
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2088 / -0.1044 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3482.3169 | 100 | 76.6422 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1044 = -76.63
Taille de position USD = -76.63 x 45.436 = -3481.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -76.63 avec un stoploss a 45.3316
Avec un position size USD de -3481.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -76.63 x -0.1044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -76.63 x -0.2088 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.49 % | 648.39 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.436 | 45.3316 | 45.6448 | 2 | 50.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.3316 - 45.436 = -0.1044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.436 - 45.6448 = -0.2088
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2088 / -0.1044 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -0.143% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.271% | 1.2R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.335% | 1.5R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.335% | 1.5R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.420% | 1.8R | -1.490% | 6.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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