Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 370.29 LIT at 2.32$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3629 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2981 (0.93 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 370.29 LIT at 2.32$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3629 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2981 (0.93 %)
Position
Entry 2.3197$
Qty 370.2889 LIT
Size 858.9593$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3629 (+1.86%)
TP $ 16$
SL 2.2981 (-0.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9797
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.250269 15m : 0.333101 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6125 | r1h: -1.362% · r4h: -3.478% · r1d: 4.15% · r3d: 14.28% · ema21_slope: 0.2475% · dist_ema21: -0.206% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5319 | rs_1h: -1.440% · rs_4h: -2.977% · rs_1d: 3.84% · rs_3d: 12.71% · beta_24h: 1.524 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5223 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.845 · trend: 69.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7632 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.857% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.367% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.276% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.276% | 2.4R | -0.504% | 0.5R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.276% | 2.4R | -1.651% | 1.8R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.789% | 3.0R | -1.651% | 1.8R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.70% | +0.52 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.35 | bull_high | +1.04% | +0.83 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | range_low | +0.55% | +0.12 | 07/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.36 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.33 | 07/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.389×ATR | p0 | +1.145×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.878×ATR | p3 | +0.443×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.473×ATR | p73 | -0.927×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 7.353×ATR | p95 | -1.017×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64908.7
-0.00340095
64688
0.250269
64690.2
-0.000900551
64632
0.333101
64385.2
0.00417463
64654
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0.3277
0.94
0.2851
0.6038
0.4121
0.8665
0.7028
-3.3618
7.9518
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 10:35:00 | 2.3716 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 11:20:00 | 2.4232 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 11:50:00 | 2.3845 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:05:00 | 2.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 13:25:00 | 2.4206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 13:50:00 | 2.4778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:20:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 15:15:00 | 2.3998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:05:00 | 2.3751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:50:00 | 2.2869 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 18:15:00 | 2.3313 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 20:15:00 | 2.2522 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 2.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 01:45:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 2.3718 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 05:30:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 2.3907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:15:00 | 2.3448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:45:00 | 2.3175 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 2.1219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 01:00:00 | 2.0347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 2.1566 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 15:00:00 | 2.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 2.2131 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 04:00:00 | 2.1291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 01:00:00 | 2.4311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 05:00:00 | 2.3409 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:00:00 | 2.4982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 2.3389 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3197 | 2.2981 | 2.3629 | 2 | 4.6989 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2981 - 2.3197 = -0.0216
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3197 - 2.3629 = -0.0432
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0432 / -0.0216 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 858.9593 | 100 | 370.2889 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0216 = -370.37
Taille de position USD = -370.37 x 2.3197 = -859.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -370.37 avec un stoploss a 2.2981
Avec un position size USD de -859.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -370.37 x -0.0216 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -370.37 x -0.0432 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3197 | 2.2981 | 2.3629 | 2 | 4.6989 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2981 - 2.3197 = -0.0216
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3197 - 2.3629 = -0.0432
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0432 / -0.0216 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.367% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.276% | 2.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.276% | 2.4R | -0.504% | 0.5R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.276% | 2.4R | -1.651% | 1.8R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.789% | 3.0R | -1.651% | 1.8R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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