Short Trade on KAITO

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07 Aug 2026 at 14:10:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 168.33 KAITO at 0.846$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8252 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8939 (5.61 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 14:10 → 17:15 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.8464$

Qty 168.3275 KAITO

Size 142.4673$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8252 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.57$

SL 0.8939 (-5.61%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.45

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.57$ MAE -0.77% MFE +3.92% 0.7R expires 07 Aug 20:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61826)

#38 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3605

Quality Score

0.475

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 14:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#38 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.61 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#38 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.61 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	-0.01×ATR
1d	clear	1.50×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 14:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

07/08 14:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

07/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

07/08 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4751

Score SMA

0.4725

Rank

#38 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3605

Rank Norm SMA

0.3282

Calculé le

07/08/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2177	r1h: -1.730% · r4h: -3.881% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -7.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1104% · dist_ema21: -4.548%
Force Relative	25%	0.2566	rs_1h: -1.542% · rs_4h: -3.372% · rs_1d: -3.28% · rs_3d: -8.14% · beta_24h: -1.199
Volume	20%	0.7643	rvol_20: 2.42× · zscore_50: 1.299 · trend: 77.66%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6188	ADX: 14.8 (weak) · Chop: 38.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.300% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.612% (0.0475)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.221%	0.2R	-0.767%	0.1R	1.6×	12
2h	+1.788%	0.3R	-0.767%	0.1R	2.3×	24
4h	+3.925%	0.7R	-0.767%	0.1R	5.1×	48
6h ★	+3.925%	0.7R	-0.767%	0.1R	5.1×	72
8h	+4.357%	0.8R	-0.767%	0.1R	5.7×	96
12h	+8.372%	1.5R	-0.767%	0.1R	10.9×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.14

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 34%	early	—	—	0.39	bear_high	-2.70%	+0.69	06/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 35%	late	near 0.0ATR	—	0.00	bull_high	+1.04%	-0.51	07/08 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	-0.15	range_low	+0.55%	-0.46	07/08 13:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.11	range_low	-0.04%	-0.30	07/08 13:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	9b	—	3.823×ATR	p45	-0.51×ATR	p43
4h	↓ down	late	36b	—	9.058×ATR	p100	-0.857×ATR	p73
1h	↓ down	late	2b	—	3.507×ATR	p75	-1.397×ATR	p91
15m	↓ down	late	5b	—	6.358×ATR	p94	-1.905×ATR	p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.8938964
tp_price: 0.82521075
atr: 0.01901056
expires_at: 2026-08-08T00:10:08+00:00

Details

rank: 46
total: 46
score: 0.2177
delta_2h: -0.4268
extension_atr: -2.25
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3605
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (3)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	14:10	0.84637000	-0.004%
2	15:10	0.84221000	-0.495%
3	16:10	0.83893000	-0.883%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8464	0.8939	0.8252	0.45	0.3004

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8464
Stop Loss: 0.8939
Take Profit: 0.8252

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8939 - 0.8464 = 0.0475
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8464 - 0.8252 = 0.0212
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0212 / 0.0475 = 0.4463

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
142.4673	100	168.3275	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0475

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0475 = 168.42

Taille de position USD = 168.42 x 0.8464 = 142.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 168.42 avec un stoploss a 0.8939

Avec un position size USD de 142.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 168.42 x 0.0475 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 168.42 x 0.0212 = 3.57

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.57$

Résumé

Taille de position 168.42
Taille de position USD 142.55
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.57
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4463

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.57 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.61 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
3.57 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.7668 %	13.66 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.8464	0.8939	0.8252	0.45	0.3004

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.8464
Stop Loss: 0.8939
Take Profit: 0.8252

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8939 - 0.8464 = 0.0475
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.8464 - 0.8252 = 0.0212
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0212 / 0.0475 = 0.4463

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.612% (0.0475)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.221%	0.2R	-0.767%	0.1R	1.6×	12
2h	+1.788%	0.3R	-0.767%	0.1R	2.3×	24
4h	+3.925%	0.7R	-0.767%	0.1R	5.1×	48
6h ★	+3.925%	0.7R	-0.767%	0.1R	5.1×	72
8h	+4.357%	0.8R	-0.767%	0.1R	5.7×	96
12h	+8.372%	1.5R	-0.767%	0.1R	10.9×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

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