Short Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5.62 HYPE at 54.341$ per unit. Take profit: 52.9825 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 55.7657 (2.62 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 14:10:08
hyperliquid
HYPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 14:10
→ 14:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 54.341$
Qty 5.6153 HYPE
Size 305.1413$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 52.9825 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.63$
SL 55.7657 (-2.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.95
Status
win
PnL
0.00%
MAE -0.46%
MFE +1.15%
0.4R
expires
07 Aug 14:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=14 <= threshold=35/45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61820)
#14 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 14:00
score du 07/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7484
Quality Score
0.557
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
262.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 14:02
07/08 14:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#14 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.69×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 07/08 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5569
Score SMA
0.5180
Rank
#14
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7484
Rank Norm SMA
0.5939
Calculé le
07/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3136 | r1h: -2.325% · r4h: -4.307% · r1d: -4.22% · r3d: -3.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0057% · dist_ema21: -3.517% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2423 | rs_1h: -2.137% · rs_4h: -3.797% · rs_1d: -4.33% · rs_3d: -4.26% · beta_24h: 1.676 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.48× · zscore_50: 4.478 · trend: 145.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6815 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 24.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.622%
(1.4247)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.434% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bear_high | -2.70% | -0.55 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +1.04% | -0.27 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.55% | -0.39 | 07/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
47%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | -0.37 | 07/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 31b | — | 5.372×ATR | p76 | +0.453×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.176×ATR | p3 | -1.022×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.221×ATR | p85 | -2.664×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.665×ATR | p93 | -2.027×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 55.7656777
- tp_price: 52.982475
- atr: 0.56987108
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T00:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 42
- total: 46
- score: 0.3136
- delta_2h: -0.1205
- extension_atr: -2.33
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7484
- confidence: 0.911
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.341 | 55.7657 | 52.9825 | 0.95 | 86.163 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 54.341
- Stop Loss: 55.7657
- Take Profit: 52.9825
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.7657 - 54.341 = 1.4247
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 54.341 - 52.9825 = 1.3585
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3585 / 1.4247 = 0.9535
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 305.1413 | 100 | 5.6153 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.4247
Taille de position = 8 / 1.4247 = 5.62
Taille de position USD = 5.62 x 54.341 = 305.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.62 avec un stoploss a 55.7657
Avec un position size USD de 305.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.62 x 1.4247 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.62 x 1.3585 = 7.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5.62
- Taille de position USD 305.4
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 7.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9535
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4343 % | 16.56 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.341 | 55.7657 | 52.9825 | 0.95 | 86.163 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 54.341
- Stop Loss: 55.7657
- Take Profit: 52.9825
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 55.7657 - 54.341 = 1.4247
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 54.341 - 52.9825 = 1.3585
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3585 / 1.4247 = 0.9535
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.622%
(1.4247)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.434% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.148% | 0.4R | -0.460% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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