Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.02 ETH at 1905.1$ per unit. Take profit: 1913.0215 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 1901.1392 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 2.02 ETH at 1905.1$ per unit. Take profit: 1913.0215 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 1901.1392 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 1905.1$
Qty 2.0198 ETH
Size 3847.9443$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 1913.0215 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1901.1392 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7647
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.840697 15m : 0.827311 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 07/08 14:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5130 | r1h: 0.168% · r4h: -0.577% · r1d: -0.09% · r3d: 2.28% · ema21_slope: 0.0317% · dist_ema21: 0.063% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5207 | rs_1h: 0.356% · rs_4h: -0.068% · rs_1d: -0.20% · rs_3d: 1.17% · beta_24h: 1.095 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5743 | rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 1.221 · trend: 31.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6828 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 37.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.521% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -3.19% | +0.26 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.88 | bull_high | +1.04% | +0.06 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.87 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.05 | 07/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.00% | -0.07 | 07/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 42b | — | 6.668×ATR | p87 | +0.346×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 26b | — | 3.851×ATR | p61 | +0.113×ATR | p13 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.297×ATR | p67 | -0.48×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.533×ATR | p39 | -0.509×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64869
-0.00343817
64646
0.840697
64673.3
2.62308E-5
64675
0.827311
64355
0.00518892
64689
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 07:00:00
[1] => 1862.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 13:00:00
[1] => 1854.7
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-05 18:00:00
[1] => 1927
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 02:00:00
[1] => 1893.7
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 08:00:00
[1] => 1918.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 13:00:00
[1] => 1892
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-06 15:00:00
[1] => 1918.9
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:00:00
[1] => 1893.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:00:00
[1] => 1939.4
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 1904.6
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6706197793132
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12601071091043
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8271553082012
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:00:00
[1] => 1897.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 02:15:00
[1] => 1907.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 04:45:00
[1] => 1893.5
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 06:15:00
[1] => 1906.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 08:00:00
[1] => 1901.1
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 09:30:00
[1] => 1916.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 12:30:00
[1] => 1939.4
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:15:00
[1] => 1909.6
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 16:00:00
[1] => 1924
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:30:00
[1] => 1904.6
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.88357588357588
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12601071091043
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0185865798593
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:15:00
[1] => 1909.6
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:35:00
[1] => 1925.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 14:50:00
[1] => 1911.2
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 15:30:00
[1] => 1920.1
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 16:10:00
[1] => 1924
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 16:50:00
[1] => 1915.4
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:00:00
[1] => 1904.9
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 17:35:00
[1] => 1904.6
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 18:10:00
[1] => 1914.4
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 18:50:00
[1] => 1904.9
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48579189302132
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.010499238805177
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.49871384324636
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
1939.4
193
0.6348
0.6463
0.3253
0.2004
0.4275
1
0.1788
0.5753
0.6989
0.736
0.6082
0.7102
0.0086
0.0318
0.6667
-0.3178
0.3144
0.65
0.35
1
6
1
0.5992
0.5639
5.0201
0.55
1.8071
5.417
0.3144
0.1469
0.3703
0.56
0.3334
0.4713
0.427
0.718
0.7102
-3.1467
7.7114
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 1909.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 14:35:00 | 1925.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:50:00 | 1911.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 15:30:00 | 1920.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:10:00 | 1924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:50:00 | 1915.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 1904.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:35:00 | 1904.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:10:00 | 1914.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:50:00 | 1904.9 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 1897.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 02:15:00 | 1907.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:45:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:15:00 | 1906.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 08:00:00 | 1901.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 09:30:00 | 1916.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 12:30:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:15:00 | 1909.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 1924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 1904.6 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 07:00:00 | 1862.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 1854.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 18:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 02:00:00 | 1893.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 1918.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 1892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 1918.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 1904.6 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905.1 | 1901.1392 | 1913.0215 | 2 | 2509.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1901.1392 - 1905.1 = -3.9607999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1905.1 - 1913.0215 = -7.9215000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.9215000000002 / -3.9607999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3847.9443 | 100 | 2.0198 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.9607999999998 = -2.02
Taille de position USD = -2.02 x 1905.1 = -3848.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.02 avec un stoploss a 1901.1392
Avec un position size USD de -3848.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.02 x -3.9607999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.02 x -7.9215000000002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905.1 | 1901.1392 | 1913.0215 | 2 | 2509.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1901.1392 - 1905.1 = -3.9607999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1905.1 - 1913.0215 = -7.9215000000002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.9215000000002 / -3.9607999999998 = 2
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1913.0216
[stop_loss] => 1901.1392
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1915.002
[stop_loss] => 1901.1392
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1916.9824
[stop_loss] => 1901.1392
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1918.9628
[stop_loss] => 1901.1392
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-07 19:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +0.751% | 3.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.