Short Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1399.57 SUI at 0.669$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6543 (2.14 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6743 (0.85 %)
07 Aug 2026 at 14:49:12
hyperliquid
SUI
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
07 Aug 2026 14:49
→ 21:15
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 0.6686$
Qty 1399.5703 SUI
Size 935.7807$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6543 (+2.14%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.6743 (-0.85%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-0.85%
/ -7.98$
MAE -2.44%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
08 Aug 02:49
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 61798)
#27 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 14:00
score du 07/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3249
Quality Score
0.510
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 14:45
07/08 14:45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#27 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#27 / 45
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -3.87×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 07/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 07/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 07/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5100
Score SMA
0.4884
Rank
#27
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3249
Rank Norm SMA
0.3876
Calculé le
07/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4322 | r1h: -0.313% · r4h: -0.617% · r1d: -1.53% · r3d: -3.72% · ema21_slope: -0.0375% · dist_ema21: -0.767% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4318 | rs_1h: -0.125% · rs_4h: -0.108% · rs_1d: -1.64% · rs_3d: -4.83% · beta_24h: 0.656 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4199 | rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.209 · trend: 12.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5893 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.721% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.853%
(0.0057)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.764% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.764% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.785% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.731% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.436% | 2.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.685% | 6.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -3.9ATR | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -3.19% | -0.78 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bull_high | +1.15% | -0.46 | 07/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.74 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.13 | 07/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.00% | -0.07 | 07/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 34b | — | 4.486×ATR | p69 | -0.704×ATR | p64 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.552×ATR | p66 | -0.585×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.297×ATR | p0 | -0.44×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.328×ATR | p3 | -0.444×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7973
- reason: down_bo width=2.05×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.67433604
- tp_price: 0.6543299
- atr:
- score: 0.79725215994115
- expires_at: 2026-08-08T06:49:04.881622
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79725215994115
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0148
- obi_top10 : -0.0301
- micro_price : 0.66899995
- spread_pct : 0.01495
- mid_price : 0.66895
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.67
- ask_wall_size : 1252412.7
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.015
- obi_top5_std : 0.0013
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6879
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.6786
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.66915
- balance_zone_mid:
0.673875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786010400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786125600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0497
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7973
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786122000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.66915
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8788
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.115
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0046104 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.8788
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.115
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:49 | 0.66862000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 14:55 | 0.66862000 | +0.003% |
| 3 | 15:01 | 0.66862000 | +0.003% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6879ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.015
avg -0.015
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
-0.030
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6690
Micro Price
0.6690
Spread
0.0150%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6700
Size
1,252,412.70
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6686 | 0.6743 | 0.6543 | 2.51 | 0.7705 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6686
- Stop Loss: 0.6743
- Take Profit: 0.6543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6743 - 0.6686 = 0.0057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6686 - 0.6543 = 0.0143
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0143 / 0.0057 = 2.5088
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 935.7807 | 100 | 1399.5703 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0057
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0057 = 1403.51
Taille de position USD = 1403.51 x 0.6686 = 938.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 1403.51 avec un stoploss a 0.6743
Avec un position size USD de 938.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0057 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1403.51 x 0.0143 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1403.51
- Taille de position USD 938.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5088
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.14 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8675 % | 101.76 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6686 | 0.6743 | 0.6543 | 2.51 | 0.7705 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6686
- Stop Loss: 0.6743
- Take Profit: 0.6543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6743 - 0.6686 = 0.0057
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6686 - 0.6543 = 0.0143
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0143 / 0.0057 = 2.5088
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.853%
(0.0057)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.764% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.764% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.785% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.731% | 2.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.436% | 2.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.685% | 6.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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