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Long Trade on LIT

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07 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 71.84 LIT at 2.329$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3872 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2176 (4.78 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 16:10 → 21:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 2.329$

Qty 71.8404 LIT

Size 167.3162$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.3872 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.18$

SL 2.2176 (-4.78%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.52

Status loss PnL -1.88% / -3.15$ MAE -2.04% MFE +0.12% 0.0R expires 07 Aug 21:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/47

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 61924)
#5 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9604

Quality Score
0.618
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
25.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 46 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.27×ATR
4h near -1.44×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

07/08 16:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

07/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

07/08 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6178
Score SMA
0.7079
Rank
#5 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9604
Rank Norm SMA
0.9705
Calculé le
07/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6566 r1h: 0.520% · r4h: -1.424% · r1d: 4.29% · r3d: 11.89% · ema21_slope: 0.1727% · dist_ema21: -0.060%
Force Relative 25% 0.6073 rs_1h: 0.139% · rs_4h: -1.517% · rs_1d: 3.48% · rs_3d: 10.75% · beta_24h: 2.244
Volume 20% 0.2613 rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.696 · trend: 30.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7780 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 5.2h) Initial Risk: -4.783% (0.1114)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.125% 0.0R -0.657% 0.1R 0.2× 12
2h +0.125% 0.0R -1.207% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.125% 0.0R -1.799% 0.4R 0.1× 48
5.2h ★ +0.125% 0.0R -2.044% 0.4R 0.1× 61
8h +1.323% 0.3R -2.044% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +2.379% 0.5R -2.044% 0.4R 1.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — — bear_high -3.19% +0.32 06/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 42% early — near -1.4ATR 0.35 bull_high +1.06% +0.84 07/08 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.46 bull_low +0.95% -0.16 07/08 15:00
15m ↓ down range range strong grind compression range_high
39%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.35 range_low +0.39% -0.37 07/08 15:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 4b — 1.922×ATR p0 +0.771×ATR p75
4h ↓ down early 1b — 1.723×ATR p3 +0.46×ATR p48
1h ↑ up early 2b — 1.687×ATR p8 -0.252×ATR p21
15m ↑ up early 8b — 3.165×ATR p48 -0.053×ATR p9

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.217642
  2. tp_price: 2.387225
  3. atr: 0.0445432
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-08T02:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 46
  3. score: 0.6566
  4. delta_2h: 0.073
  5. extension_atr: -0.71
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9604
  9. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.329 2.2176 2.3872 0.52 4.4561
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.329
  • Stop Loss: 2.2176
  • Take Profit: 2.3872

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2176 - 2.329 = -0.1114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.329 - 2.3872 = -0.0582

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0582 / -0.1114 = 0.5224

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
167.3162 100 71.8404 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1114

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1114 = -71.81

Taille de position USD = -71.81 x 2.329 = -167.25

Donc, tu peux acheter -71.81 avec un stoploss a 2.2176

Avec un position size USD de -167.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -71.81 x -0.1114 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -71.81 x -0.0582 = 4.18

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.18$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -71.81
  • Taille de position USD -167.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.18
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5224

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.18 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.78 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.15 $ -1.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0438 % 42.73 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.329 2.2176 2.3872 0.52 4.4561
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.329
  • Stop Loss: 2.2176
  • Take Profit: 2.3872

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2176 - 2.329 = -0.1114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.329 - 2.3872 = -0.0582

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0582 / -0.1114 = 0.5224

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 5.2h) Initial Risk: -4.783% (0.1114)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.125% 0.0R -0.657% 0.1R 0.2× 12
2h +0.125% 0.0R -1.207% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.125% 0.0R -1.799% 0.4R 0.1× 48
5.2h ★ +0.125% 0.0R -2.044% 0.4R 0.1× 61
8h +1.323% 0.3R -2.044% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +2.379% 0.5R -2.044% 0.4R 1.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

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