Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 4235.27 ETHFI at 0.383$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3866 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3809 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 4235.27 ETHFI at 0.383$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3866 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3809 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.3828$
Qty 4235.2692 ETHFI
Size 1621.3034$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3866 (+0.99%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 0.3809 (-0.5%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9771
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 07/08 16:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.290026 15m : 0.295636 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 07/08 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7180 | r1h: 0.960% · r4h: 0.984% · r1d: 10.44% · r3d: 6.27% · ema21_slope: 0.3130% · dist_ema21: 3.282% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7059 | rs_1h: 0.580% · rs_4h: 0.892% · rs_1d: 9.63% · rs_3d: 5.12% · beta_24h: 1.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2111 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.570 · trend: -13.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7643 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.407% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.3R | -0.724% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.170% | 0.3R | -0.948% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.415% | 0.8R | -0.948% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.415% | 0.8R | -0.967% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.692% | 1.4R | -0.967% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -3.19% | -0.91 | 06/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.32% | +0.47 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_low | +0.95% | +0.51 | 07/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.32% | +0.01 | 07/08 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.322×ATR | p24 | -0.014×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.692×ATR | p58 | +1.03×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.388×ATR | p2 | +0.342×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.758×ATR | p13 | -0.662×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64915
0.000275792
64933
0.290026
64694.1
0.00369204
64933
0.295636
64406.3
0.00840954
64948
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0.4
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0.498
0.5376
7.9139
0.65
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2.2768
2.3705
0.5765
0.3212
0.86
0.3607
0.5669
0.5107
0.9255
0.6343
-3.5446
6.1468
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:32 | 0.38281000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 16:38 | 0.38155000 | -0.327% |
| 3 | 16:44 | 0.38128000 | -0.397% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 15:40:00 | 0.38406 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:30:00 | 0.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.38141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:35:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:50:00 | 0.38498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:05:00 | 0.38498 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 18:20:00 | 0.38714 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:40:00 | 0.38185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 0.38828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:30:00 | 0.38272 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 07:45:00 | 0.36433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 08:30:00 | 0.36829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 10:15:00 | 0.36424 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:45:00 | 0.38792 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 14:45:00 | 0.37663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 16:30:00 | 0.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:30:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 18:30:00 | 0.38185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 20:00:00 | 0.38828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 20:30:00 | 0.38272 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 16:00:00 | 0.3559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 0.34887 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 06:00:00 | 0.36847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.35971 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 14:00:00 | 0.37248 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 0.37491 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 09:00:00 | 0.35276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.36201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 19:00:00 | 0.34868 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.38988 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3828 | 0.3809 | 0.3866 | 2 | 0.5866 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3809 - 0.3828 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3828 - 0.3866 = -0.0038
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0038 / -0.0019 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1621.3034 | 100 | 4235.2692 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53
Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.3828 = -1611.79
Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.3809
Avec un position size USD de -1611.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0038 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4963 % | 100 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3828 | 0.3809 | 0.3866 | 2 | 0.5866 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3809 - 0.3828 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3828 - 0.3866 = -0.0038
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0038 / -0.0019 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.3R | -0.724% | 1.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.170% | 0.3R | -0.948% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.415% | 0.8R | -0.948% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.415% | 0.8R | -0.967% | 2.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.692% | 1.4R | -0.967% | 2.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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