Short Trade on PUMP

Previous Trade Next Trade

07 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 76997.11 PUMP at 0.00225$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002197 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002357 (4.62 %)

PUMP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 07 Aug 2026 18:10 → 00:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.002253$

Qty 76997.1126 PUMP

Size 173.4745$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002197 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.31$

SL 0.002357 (-4.62%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.54

Status loss PnL -1.07% / -1.85$ MAE -1.78% MFE +0.13% 0.0R expires 08 Aug 00:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 62010)

#44 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 07/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2055

Quality Score

0.434

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

18.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
07/08 18:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#44 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.62 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#44 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.62 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.68×ATR
4h	clear	0.97×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 07/08 18:00 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

07/08 18:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 06/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 07/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 07/08 17:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

06/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

07/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

07/08 17:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4335

Score SMA

0.4895

Rank

#44 / 46

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2055

Rank Norm SMA

0.4017

Calculé le

07/08/2026 18:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2984	r1h: -1.693% · r4h: -2.203% · r1d: -4.91% · r3d: -8.38% · ema21_slope: -0.0809% · dist_ema21: -2.492%
Force Relative	25%	0.2168	rs_1h: -1.797% · rs_4h: -2.622% · rs_1d: -5.83% · rs_3d: -9.69% · beta_24h: 0.586
Volume	20%	0.6030	rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 0.554 · trend: 3.51%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4609	ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.881% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.616% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.420%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.687%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.687%	0.4R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.133%	0.0R	-1.775%	0.4R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.133%	0.0R	-2.486%	0.5R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.133%	0.0R	-3.107%	0.7R	0.0×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.03

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 39%	late	—	—	0.58	bear_high	-3.19%	+1.00	06/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	0.45	bull_high	+1.32%	+0.02	07/08 16:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	explosive	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	early	near -0.7ATR	—	0.35	bull_low	+1.02%	-0.46	07/08 17:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 39%	late	near -1.6ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.40%	-0.11	07/08 17:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	24b	—	4.97×ATR	p90	+0.413×ATR	p47
4h	↓ down	mid	14b	—	3.392×ATR	p56	-0.448×ATR	p41
1h	↓ down	early	2b	—	1.305×ATR	p0	-0.476×ATR	p49
15m	↓ down	late	7b	—	3.762×ATR	p83	-1.136×ATR	p92

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.0023569
tp_price: 0.00219667
atr: 4.156E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-08T04:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 43
total: 46
score: 0.2984
delta_2h: -0.2347
extension_atr: -1.44
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2055
confidence: 0.933

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	18:10	0.00225300	0%
2	19:10	0.00227200	+0.843%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002253	0.002357	0.002197	0.54	0.004264

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002253
Stop Loss: 0.002357
Take Profit: 0.002197

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002357 - 0.002253 = 0.000104
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002253 - 0.002197 = 5.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.6E-5 / 0.000104 = 0.5385

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
173.4745	100	76997.1126	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.000104

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000104 = 76923.08

Taille de position USD = 76923.08 x 0.002253 = 173.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 76923.08 avec un stoploss a 0.002357

Avec un position size USD de 173.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 76923.08 x 0.000104 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 76923.08 x 5.6E-5 = 4.31

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.31$

Résumé

Taille de position 76923.08
Taille de position USD 173.31
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.31
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5385

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	4.31 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.62 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.85 $	-1.07

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.7754 %	38.46 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002253	0.002357	0.002197	0.54	0.004264

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002253
Stop Loss: 0.002357
Take Profit: 0.002197

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002357 - 0.002253 = 0.000104
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002253 - 0.002197 = 5.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.6E-5 / 0.000104 = 0.5385

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.616% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.420%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.687%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.687%	0.4R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.133%	0.0R	-1.775%	0.4R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.133%	0.0R	-2.486%	0.5R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.133%	0.0R	-3.107%	0.7R	0.0×	144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.